NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	88		Excitement	5.5 [707]		MVP	Zach Randolph (POR): +18.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	97		Comeback	1.5 [941]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -16.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Danny Fortson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	61%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	19	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.01	-0.03	12	25%	-0.06	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.08	-0.02	17	67%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.10	-0.03	17	44%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kaniel Dickens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	9	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	29.4	15.8	23.1	2.3	28.6	125.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +53.7%

DAL -15.9%

DAL -1.8%

POR +11.3%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	18.2	15.7	103.5	111.5	100.5
season	14.6	17.1		109.2	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.7	14.7	15.5	15.2	15.3
POR	16.3	16.6	18.8	21.6	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	67	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-12	15	14.7	17.6	-2.90	19.4	14.2	5.11
Tony Delk	12	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-6	3	13.4	15.6	-2.16	17.3	18.3	-0.99
Eduardo Najera	16	18	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-5	1	18.8	14.4	4.36	18.7	18.0	0.68
Danny Fortson	23	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-3	-3	13.0	16.1	-3.11	13.6	19.7	-6.09
Antawn Jamison	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-8	7	15.9	14.8	1.11	19.5	17.0	2.51
Josh Howard	53	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-9	9	14.9	15.8	-0.92	18.0	18.5	-0.44
Dirk Nowitzki	73	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-4	-1	15.4	14.4	0.99	18.4	16.6	1.77
Steve Nash	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.10	-13	4	-17	15.4	14.7	0.69	17.2	21.3	-4.11
Antoine Walker	76	78	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.20	-16	7	-23	15.7	11.6	4.15	18.5	15.7	2.81

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	0	9	17.4	23.0	-5.59	14.8	18.1	-3.28
Jeff McInnis	75	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-1	11	18.0	19.5	-1.53	15.5	13.8	1.67
Zach Randolph	66	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	3	3	19.1	15.4	3.63	15.4	15.0	0.43
Ruben Patterson	71	68	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	5	-1	18.6	16.3	2.29	15.2	15.5	-0.25
Rasheed Wallace	37	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	3	3	19.8	17.0	2.78	16.4	14.4	2.06
Qyntel Woods	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	5	-1	15.8	19.8	-4.01	14.4	15.9	-1.43
Dale Davis	41	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	1	7	16.6	19.6	-2.98	15.3	15.2	0.06
Wesley Person	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	10	-11	21.2	17.0	4.23	16.0	15.0	0.96
Kaniel Dickens	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	10	-11	18.4	18.2	0.24	13.6	15.5	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.71,0.67,0.81,0.83,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 69, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.71,0.96,1,1	93.9%
HOU 89, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.71,0.72,0.89,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.9%
CHA 99, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.84,1	93.5%