NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	125		Excitement	6.2 [190]		MVP	Jamal Murray (DEN): +23.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	115		Comeback	1.3 [288]		LVP	Spencer Jones (DEN): -6.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Murray	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.05	-0.02	21	66%	0.23	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peyton Watson	0.16	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.05	0.02	22	61%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Joki?	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	0.01	9	74%	0.23	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Cameron Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	10	78%	0.14	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	8	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zeke Nnaji	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valan?i?nas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.03	-0.03	18	67%	0.23	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	13	73%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.04	10	78%	0.10	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Zach Edey	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	16	48%	0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Cedric Coward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	16	35%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.0	27.9	0.0	23.7	0.0	29.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +52.3%

MEM -3.9%

DEN +7.0%

MEM -5.8%

DEN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MEM	NBA	DEN	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	13.9	14.1	126.3	116.2	113.7
season	14.4	13.7		123.3	110.5
opponent	14.4	14.0		112.8	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.6	13.6	15.4	17.1	15.2
MEM	13.0	15.8	15.9	11.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	91	91	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.13	15	-5	20	15.5	11.5	4.01	13.9	13.4	0.54
Peyton Watson	94	94	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-3	16	15.1	17.2	-2.13	14.1	10.0	4.07
Nikola Joki?	94	94	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.15	13	-3	16	15.1	17.2	-2.13	14.1	10.0	4.07
Bruce Brown	81	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.14	12	-2	14	15.4	14.0	1.44	14.4	11.7	2.69
Jonas Valan?i?nas	51	49	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	-6	22	15.5	14.9	0.64	13.4	14.3	-0.91
Jamal Murray	95	94	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	1	8	15.1	16.0	-0.85	14.3	6.6	7.66
Cameron Johnson	94	93	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	3	4	15.0	18.4	-3.39	14.4	5.7	8.73
Zeke Nnaji	52	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-2	14	15.1	15.3	-0.14	14.1	13.7	0.43
Spencer Jones	41	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	4	2	15.0	15.3	-0.27	15.7	12.6	3.16

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Edey	13	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	12.4	14.1	-1.71	14.1	15.3	-1.27
John Konchar	38	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	3	-16	14.0	13.8	0.17	14.5	15.6	-1.19
Jaylen Wells	90	92	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-8	6	14.2	10.3	3.89	15.3	13.9	1.43
Cam Spencer	94	95	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-2	-6	14.1	10.0	4.07	15.2	14.2	0.97
Jock Landale	86	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	1	-12	14.8	7.4	7.46	15.0	16.6	-1.65
Vince Williams Jr.	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	4	-18	14.8	10.7	4.19	15.0	15.8	-0.86
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	78	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	6	-22	15.0	9.7	5.33	15.3	14.7	0.65
Santi Aldama	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	13.9	0.0	13.87	15.2	0.0	15.18
Jaren Jackson Jr.	86	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.10	-16	6	-22	14.3	11.2	3.13	15.5	13.4	2.13
Cedric Coward	91	91	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	5	-20	13.9	13.4	0.54	15.5	11.5	4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 121, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	95.8%
ATL 102, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.8%
DAL 101, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.6%