NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	5.3 [760]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +12.1%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.4 [685]		LVP	Travis Best (CHI): -15.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Ira Newble	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	16	66%	0.11	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	17	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	8	33%	-0.06	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	13	87%	0.20	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	59%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	72%	0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	8	40%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	8	48%	-0.03	5	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	7	31%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	28.0	14.8	22.0	1.8	39.2	135.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.9%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +17.5%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.6	105.2	100.0	102.3
season	15.5	15.6		99.7	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.5	15.6	16.8	14.8	14.9
CHI	15.8	17.1	14.5	12.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	79	78	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.11	20	-14	34	14.5	16.4	-1.87	15.6	12.1	3.53
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-6	18	14.9	14.6	0.34	15.1	14.4	0.67
Nazr Mohammed	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	2	2	15.1	14.2	0.82	14.2	17.4	-3.23
Toni Kukoc	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	4	-2	14.5	15.5	-0.96	15.1	14.7	0.37
Jason Terry	80	80	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	5	-4	14.2	17.8	-3.51	14.9	15.2	-0.32
Jacque Vaughn	33	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	5	-4	16.1	14.2	1.86	13.8	15.5	-1.73
DerMarr Johnson	40	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	9	-12	15.3	14.6	0.70	14.2	15.5	-1.25
Alan Henderson	24	23	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	4	-2	14.2	15.1	-0.82	17.4	14.2	3.23
Hanno Mottola	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	15	-24	16.8	14.4	2.39	14.9	15.0	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	35	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-7	8	14.4	15.3	-0.87	15.4	14.6	0.78
Jamal Crawford	38	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-5	4	16.8	13.8	3.00	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Eddy Curry	56	56	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-4	2	14.6	15.5	-0.85	15.0	14.7	0.27
Dalibor Bagaric	17	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	1	-8	20.1	13.9	6.17	14.9	14.8	0.10
A.J. Guyton	17	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-2	-2	13.7	15.3	-1.55	15.6	14.7	0.95
Trenton Hassell	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-1	-4	14.9	15.1	-0.18	14.3	16.2	-1.95
Tyson Chandler	63	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-1	-4	13.9	17.0	-3.13	15.7	13.2	2.46
Marcus Fizer	52	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-5	4	15.5	14.4	1.05	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Fred Hoiberg	44	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	15.1	14.9	0.21	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Jalen Rose	89	91	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-4	2	14.4	22.6	-8.19	15.0	13.2	1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 106, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DET 89, CHI 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CHI 101, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.02,0	94.5%