NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	6.3 [554]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +12.8%
Phoenix Suns	92		Comeback	1.0 [337]		LVP	Gerald Green (PHX): -19.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	10	72%	0.20	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.07	0.01	14	50%	0.13	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	10	70%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	21	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	9	46%	0.05	5	-0.11	6	67%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	0.03	15	63%	0.11	5	-0.11	8	50%	-0.03
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	13	40%	0.01	5	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	13	19%	-0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.7	34.2	15.7	31.3	2.4	39.2	145.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.7%

PHX -3.9%

CHI +4.3%

CHI +5.8%

CHI +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	12.6	15.1	99.0	89.3	105.2
season	16.3	14.7		101.1	107.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		105.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	14.7	15.5	16.5	15.5
PHX	12.2	14.1	12.2	11.8	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmy Butler	92	94	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.21	9	0	9	15.7	14.0	1.72	12.5	13.4	-0.97
Joakim Noah	78	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	4	1	15.8	14.8	0.94	12.1	14.0	-1.85
Carlos Boozer	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	4	1	16.0	14.7	1.31	12.1	13.5	-1.48
D.J. Augustin	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	7	-5	15.8	15.2	0.53	13.2	11.8	1.38
Kirk Hinrich	54	56	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-1	11	15.4	15.7	-0.22	11.5	13.9	-2.37
Mike Dunleavy	81	82	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	4	1	15.7	14.9	0.81	12.7	12.1	0.59
Taj Gibson	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	7	-5	14.7	16.3	-1.67	13.4	11.8	1.53
Tony Snell	22	21	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	5	-1	11.9	16.6	-4.70	12.9	12.5	0.43
Nazr Mohammed	10	9	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	5	-1	15.1	15.6	-0.50	15.7	12.3	3.40

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	59	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-1	-7	12.2	13.0	-0.84	14.2	17.3	-3.11
PJ Tucker	58	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-6	3	12.0	13.3	-1.25	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Miles Plumlee	68	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-2	-5	13.0	11.7	1.29	15.5	15.6	-0.05
Ish Smith	30	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-3	-3	14.9	11.6	3.30	15.7	15.5	0.18
Goran Dragic	76	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	11.9	14.5	-2.60	15.3	16.3	-0.97
Marcus Morris	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	12.9	12.3	0.54	16.1	15.2	0.93
Channing Frye	71	72	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-6	3	12.1	13.6	-1.54	16.7	12.9	3.80
Leandro Barbosa	48	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-5	1	12.5	12.6	-0.08	15.9	15.2	0.69
Markieff Morris	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	13.0	11.9	1.13	15.2	16.0	-0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.1,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.5%
MIN 108, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0	94.4%
IND 98, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.03,0,0	94.4%