NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	106		Excitement	4.7 [890]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +21.8%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	1.4 [424]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -8.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.07	0.05	22	62%	0.22	0	0.00	12	92%	0.03
Quinton Ross	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	3	70%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.04	0.05	18	65%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	14	48%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
James Singleton	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.10	2	-0.04	13	85%	0.03
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	7	71%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	10	42%	0.00	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	15	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	34.2	16.8	29.3	3.7	36.3	146.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +53.8%

ORL -8.6%

ORL -0.6%

ORL -0.3%

LAC +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.6	111.6	98.9	104.4
season	15.2	16.4		103.9	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.6	14.0	15.6	15.3	14.3
ORL	16.9	16.7	15.1	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	89	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-4	20	14.2	16.3	-2.15	16.1	15.0	1.07
Chris Wilcox	37	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	2	8	15.4	13.6	1.78	14.0	17.3	-3.29
Shaun Livingston	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	5	2	14.9	13.9	0.99	14.8	16.9	-2.19
Sam Cassell	75	74	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	7	-2	14.2	14.6	-0.42	16.8	13.1	3.67
Elton Brand	79	80	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	10	-8	13.9	16.3	-2.40	15.9	16.5	-0.55
Quinton Ross	38	40	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	6	0	14.2	14.4	-0.22	14.2	17.3	-3.02
Chris Kaman	55	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	7	-2	14.9	13.5	1.32	17.5	14.0	3.48
James Singleton	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	3	6	13.7	15.4	-1.75	16.9	14.4	2.50

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	41	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-12	12	17.4	14.9	2.45	14.7	14.0	0.74
Hedo Turkoglu	82	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-6	0	15.9	16.9	-1.07	13.9	16.7	-2.75
DeShawn Stevenson	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	4	-20	17.2	12.8	4.45	14.9	12.6	2.33
Steve Francis	80	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	15.9	16.5	-0.63	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Keyon Dooling	54	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	-3	-6	14.8	17.6	-2.75	14.5	14.1	0.31
Dwight Howard	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	0	-12	16.0	16.1	-0.14	14.2	15.0	-0.76
Pat Garrity	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	-3	-6	15.1	17.7	-2.60	14.1	14.6	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.6%
NJN 91, BOS 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
IND 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%