NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	101		Excitement	6.0 [597]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +14.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	1.2 [463]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -20.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.01	23	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	11	61%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.03	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Eduardo Najera	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	16	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.00	25	62%	0.24	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	100%	0.06
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	19	56%	-0.03	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	9	30%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	0.00	11	21%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	27.6	15.6	26.5	2.0	29.2	126.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.1%

DAL +4.9%

LAC -2.2%

DAL +13.9%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.7	108.6	94.6	100.5
season	14.6	15.5		109.2	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.0	14.1	18.0	17.8	15.2
LAC	13.2	18.0	15.4	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	52	53	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-3	19	15.4	15.0	0.45	16.3	15.0	1.30
Dirk Nowitzki	85	86	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.12	13	0	13	15.5	12.2	3.23	15.8	15.1	0.67
Michael Finley	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-1	15	15.1	15.6	-0.54	15.3	17.6	-2.34
Marquis Daniels	40	39	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	6	1	15.5	14.9	0.61	15.9	15.7	0.19
Steve Nash	74	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	8	-3	15.1	15.5	-0.34	16.2	14.1	2.15
Eduardo Najera	24	25	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	7	-1	17.7	14.3	3.43	16.1	15.6	0.43
Danny Fortson	38	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	8	-3	13.2	16.6	-3.33	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Scott Williams	9	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	7	-1	12.0	15.5	-3.55	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Shawn Bradley	22	20	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	17	-21	17.1	14.6	2.53	17.3	15.3	2.02
Antoine Walker	49	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	16	-19	14.5	16.0	-1.47	15.0	16.5	-1.46

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	14	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-10	7	16.5	15.6	0.87	14.0	15.4	-1.38
Matt Barnes	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	-6	-1	19.9	15.0	4.90	12.8	15.6	-2.83
Chris Wilcox	22	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-13	13	16.2	15.6	0.61	18.5	14.1	4.39
Keyon Dooling	55	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-7	1	14.2	18.0	-3.83	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Doug Overton	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	17.3	14.5	2.82	16.5	14.2	2.34
Elton Brand	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-5	-3	15.3	19.4	-4.08	15.4	14.1	1.26
Quentin Richardson	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-5	-3	15.5	20.2	-4.71	15.4	11.8	3.60
Bobby Simmons	60	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-7	1	15.8	15.7	0.15	14.3	17.1	-2.75
Corey Maggette	89	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.06	-16	3	-19	15.8	14.5	1.32	15.0	19.2	-4.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 105, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	94.7%
NYK 85, MIL 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.5%
LAC 93, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.01,0	94.4%