NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	5.3 [730]		MVP	Loy Vaught (LAC): +13.9%
San Antonio Spurs	81		Comeback	1.3 [502]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -22.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	9	87%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Terry Dehere	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05
Kevin Duckworth	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Malik Sealy	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	80%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Tim Kempton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	18	52%	0.02	3	-0.08	10	100%	0.05
Will Perdue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.04
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	14	27%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.05	0.00	7	19%	-0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.0	25.6	15.0	29.2	1.7	37.1	131.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.8%

LAC +1.9%

LAC +1.2%

LAC +3.1%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.6	106.9	93.1	104.4
season	15.8	16.8		102.9	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.1		109.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.8	19.7	17.7	16.4	17.3
SAS	16.2	17.2	15.0	14.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	39	37	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-1	14	17.3	17.4	-0.05	15.7	15.8	-0.16
Loy Vaught	62	64	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	2	8	18.3	15.0	3.22	16.0	15.1	0.87
Terry Dehere	33	33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	8	-4	19.2	16.2	3.03	17.8	14.5	3.25
Malik Sealy	62	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	3	6	17.2	17.8	-0.60	14.9	18.1	-3.25
Stanley Roberts	33	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	4	4	17.7	17.1	0.54	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Lamond Murray	37	37	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	9	-6	16.7	17.8	-1.10	16.0	15.6	0.40
Eric Piatkowski	25	24	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	9	-6	17.8	17.2	0.60	18.1	14.9	3.25
Pooh Richardson	47	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	10	-8	17.5	17.2	0.29	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Rodney Rogers	45	45	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	11	-10	16.8	17.9	-1.01	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	8	7	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	11	-10	15.4	17.5	-2.16	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Kevin Duckworth	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	12	-12	17.2	17.5	-0.30	16.0	15.6	0.36
Darrick Martin	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.15	6	6	0	7.6	18.2	-10.62	10.0	16.3	-6.28

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Kempton	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-10	8	12.5	15.8	-3.35	10.0	17.5	-7.51
Greg Anderson	11	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-8	4	13.3	16.1	-2.86	20.5	16.8	3.67
Cory Alexander	10	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	0	-12	14.5	15.9	-1.44	18.2	17.2	0.97
Vinny Del Negro	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-4	-4	16.1	15.5	0.61	16.0	18.9	-2.92
Carl Herrera	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-5	-2	15.3	16.2	-0.84	18.8	15.9	2.88
Avery Johnson	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-11	10	16.4	13.9	2.49	17.5	16.7	0.81
Sean Elliott	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-8	4	15.3	18.7	-3.36	16.5	22.6	-6.09
Will Perdue	73	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-10	8	16.3	12.8	3.56	17.3	17.6	-0.28
Vernon Maxwell	48	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	15.2	16.5	-1.35	17.1	17.6	-0.48
Dominique Wilkins	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.11	-9	-3	-6	16.3	14.3	1.93	17.8	16.0	1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.01,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
GSW 90, NYK 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CLE 105, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%