NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	5.6 [691]		MVP	Jason Caffey (MIL): +1.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	71		Comeback	1.2 [334]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -33.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	17	52%	0.05	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	62%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	24	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Marcus Camby	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	11	46%	-0.05	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	17	60%	0.05	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	16	33%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.3,-0.32,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.26	-0.07	0.00	20	23%	-0.24	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.3	2.3	24.4	15.4	28.0	1.8	31.3	123.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +54.7%

NYK +3.6%

MIL -12.1%

NYK +4.9%

MIL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.6	93.4	78.0	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		99.6	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.3	17.9	15.7	16.4	15.7
MIL	15.5	17.2	15.0	16.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	83	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	1	12	16.0	12.2	3.76	15.5	20.2	-4.72
Shandon Anderson	36	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.04	14	0	14	17.1	14.8	2.32	17.2	15.2	2.00
Marcus Camby	49	50	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	2	10	14.6	17.0	-2.45	16.3	15.5	0.78
Kurt Thomas	56	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	10	-6	14.7	17.2	-2.42	15.7	16.4	-0.76
Mark Jackson	59	60	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	5	4	15.2	16.5	-1.31	15.6	16.6	-1.03
Othella Harrington	51	51	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	9	-4	16.5	14.6	1.97	16.4	15.4	1.06
Allan Houston	77	77	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	10	-6	15.0	19.6	-4.68	15.7	17.4	-1.64
Charlie Ward	32	31	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	9	-4	16.5	15.2	1.31	16.6	15.6	1.03
Travis Knight	12	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	10	-6	19.1	15.2	3.92	15.1	16.1	-1.02

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	29	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.19	9	-23	32	15.4	16.2	-0.81	17.3	14.9	2.39
Rafer Alston	1	1	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-16	18	8.0	16.1	-8.06	0.0	15.9	-15.86
Mark Pope	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	14.0	16.0	-1.99	43.0	15.4	27.62
Joel Przybilla	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-14	14	14.0	16.0	-1.99	43.0	15.4	27.62
Jason Caffey	11	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-8	2	19.1	15.5	3.55	18.9	15.3	3.62
Glenn Robinson	73	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-7	0	15.2	19.2	-3.99	15.0	18.4	-3.44
Ervin Johnson	22	22	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-4	-6	15.9	16.0	-0.14	16.5	15.4	1.02
Michael Redd	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-3	-8	15.6	16.2	-0.60	17.0	15.1	1.94
Anthony Mason	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-7	0	15.9	16.5	-0.63	14.9	19.5	-4.53
Sam Cassell	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-11	8	15.9	16.1	-0.13	14.9	20.3	-5.40
Ray Allen	78	77	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	1	-16	16.4	13.2	3.28	15.7	15.4	0.38
Tim Thomas	54	56	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.05	-22	8	-30	16.7	14.9	1.72	15.4	16.1	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 127, MEM 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 106, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	94.6%
DAL 101, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0	94.5%