NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	5.1 [785]		MVP	Jason Terry (BOS): +14.1%
Boston Celtics	100		Comeback	1.5 [359]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -14.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	19	56%	0.17	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.02
Dorell Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	65%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Arnett Moultrie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	16	55%	0.10	7	-0.12	6	100%	0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	7	87%	0.15	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	0.05	16	59%	0.03	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	17	37%	-0.06	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	30.5	15.7	28.4	2.5	33.5	139.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +31.0%

PHI +9.2%

PHI +15.8%

BOS -2.9%

BOS -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	15.4	109.3	105.3	104.1
season	15.5	14.9		100.5	101.2
opponent	16.2	15.7		101.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	14.6	18.6	16.6	15.9
BOS	16.1	14.8	14.8	11.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	85	82	0.72	-0.23	0.95	0.31	14	-8	22	15.9	15.9	-0.06	14.1	14.2	-0.04
Thaddeus Young	78	77	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-7	20	16.8	12.2	4.55	14.7	11.6	3.16
Dorell Wright	76	74	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-3	12	15.1	18.7	-3.64	13.5	16.1	-2.60
Spencer Hawes	42	43	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	-8	22	14.4	17.0	-2.54	15.9	12.7	3.19
Evan Turner	81	81	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.29	1	5	-4	15.9	15.5	0.44	14.1	14.4	-0.37
Lavoy Allen	46	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	11	-16	17.3	14.6	2.74	13.3	14.9	-1.57
Nick Young	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	5	-4	16.1	15.7	0.34	14.8	13.7	1.10
Royal Ivey	29	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	14	-22	14.3	16.5	-2.27	12.2	14.8	-2.65
Arnett Moultrie	13	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	15	-24	17.2	15.7	1.58	13.3	14.2	-0.94

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	24	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-7	8	13.3	14.4	-1.10	15.9	15.9	0.03
Courtney Lee	37	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	0	-6	15.4	13.3	2.07	14.0	17.1	-3.16
Jared Sullinger	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	1	-8	16.8	12.6	4.20	16.2	15.7	0.52
Jason Terry	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-11	16	12.4	17.1	-4.66	16.4	14.9	1.47
Jeff Green	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	0	-6	15.4	13.4	2.06	16.4	15.6	0.75
Brandon Bass	45	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-1	-4	15.8	12.6	3.20	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Leandro Barbosa	23	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	1	-8	12.6	14.6	-2.05	16.0	15.8	0.18
Rajon Rondo	83	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-8	10	14.1	14.3	-0.25	15.9	15.8	0.02
Kevin Garnett	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-4	2	13.1	16.1	-2.98	16.1	15.4	0.65
Paul Pierce	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	13.6	15.6	-2.02	16.0	15.5	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 127, MEM 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
WAS 134, CHI 125	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%