NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	134		Excitement	5.1 [823]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (WAS): +21.9%
Chicago Bulls	125		Comeback	1.6 [772]		LVP	Bobby Portis (WAS): -9.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.05	0.00	6	100%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.00	12	79%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.02	0.07	10	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.01	0.02	21	67%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jabari Parker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.04	-0.04	15	62%	0.18	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
John Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	41%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	-0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	40%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.02	10	72%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	13	53%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	17	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	49%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	3	117%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.08	17	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	31.2	14.6	26.4	1.7	29.0	129.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +55.6%

CHI -4.5%

WAS +2.0%

CHI -1.7%

CHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	13.0	14.3	127.6	119.0	109.3
season	13.8	14.6		109.8	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	12.9	14.6	16.2	14.4
CHI	12.9	11.1	13.6	15.1	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chasson Randle	57	55	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.10	10	-1	11	14.0	14.8	-0.82	13.0	13.1	-0.16
Wesley Johnson	44	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-2	13	13.4	15.1	-1.65	14.4	12.1	2.38
Bobby Portis	62	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	1	7	13.9	15.1	-1.15	14.0	11.6	2.37
Jabari Parker	75	76	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	4	1	14.3	14.7	-0.43	13.3	12.3	1.05
Tomas Satoransky	62	65	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	2	5	14.0	14.9	-0.87	13.4	12.4	0.95
Trevor Ariza	66	67	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	2	5	14.8	13.6	1.23	12.5	14.0	-1.51
Bradley Beal	77	76	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	14.5	14.0	0.48	12.2	15.2	-3.04
Jeff Green	20	22	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	0	9	14.1	14.4	-0.30	12.9	13.1	-0.22
Jordan McRae	19	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.23	-5	14	-19	15.4	14.2	1.19	14.4	12.7	1.70
Thomas Bryant	38	36	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	14	-19	15.6	13.7	1.82	11.7	13.8	-2.09
John Jenkins	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	15	-21	19.6	14.1	5.47	4.7	13.4	-8.62

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Sampson	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-15	21	4.7	13.4	-8.62	19.6	14.1	5.47
Robin Lopez	40	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-12	15	12.2	13.6	-1.35	15.5	13.7	1.76
Ryan Arcidiacono	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-10	11	13.5	12.8	0.77	13.8	14.7	-0.91
Cristiano Felicio	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-8	7	14.7	12.6	2.11	15.9	14.0	1.89
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-9	9	11.1	14.2	-3.10	13.8	14.7	-0.91
Shaquille Harrison	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-5	1	13.2	13.0	0.19	15.5	14.0	1.56
Lauri Markkanen	70	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	0	-9	13.3	12.4	0.91	13.8	15.6	-1.81
Wayne Selden	54	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	1	-11	14.6	11.3	3.31	13.4	15.5	-2.10
Otto Porter Jr.	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	0	-9	12.7	13.9	-1.19	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Kris Dunn	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	1	-11	12.6	14.0	-1.40	14.5	14.1	0.39
Zach LaVine	78	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	3	-15	13.4	11.9	1.55	14.4	14.3	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 112, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0	95.5%
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
BOS 112, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%