NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	9.1 [63]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAS): +42.9%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	2.4 [208]		LVP	Zach Edey (MEM): -28.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Coward	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.35,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.05	0.09	-0.03	15	63%	0.23	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cam Spencer	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	13	47%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
John Konchar	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	9	19%	-0.16	2	-0.04	3	0%	-0.10
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-0.01	20	45%	-0.12	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	-0.28	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28	-0.08	-0.21	-0.01	10	40%	-0.16	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.36,0.43	0.43	0.20	0.23	-0.00	14	79%	0.43	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	20	59%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	11	42%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Julian Champagnie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
David Jones Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carter Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	15	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.4	24.7	14.5	29.2	2.2	28.9	129.1
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +80.6%

SAS +15.0%

MEM -49.9%

SAS +8.3%

MEM -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.1	14.1	104.1	114.4	113.7
season	13.7	14.0		110.5	117.1
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.5	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	16.0	13.7	17.2	15.5
SAS	14.4	14.0	14.0	14.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Santi Aldama	83	81	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-12	14	16.2	11.5	4.73	14.4	12.5	1.92
Jock Landale	72	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-7	4	16.0	14.3	1.71	14.3	13.7	0.61
John Konchar	28	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-5	0	16.9	15.0	1.89	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	79	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	15.4	16.1	-0.69	14.1	14.1	-0.06
Zach Edey	90	91	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	16.0	9.6	6.44	14.2	12.0	2.24
Vince Williams Jr.	95	94	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-4	-2	15.7	7.0	8.73	14.2	12.0	2.17
Jaylen Wells	86	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.20	-10	0	-10	16.1	11.5	4.62	14.3	12.4	1.96
Jaren Jackson Jr.	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	15.5	0.0	15.55	14.1	0.0	14.10
Cedric Coward	96	95	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	15.5	19.0	-3.49	14.2	11.5	2.66
Cam Spencer	90	88	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.26	-9	-1	-8	16.1	8.6	7.52	14.3	12.2	2.07

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	77	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.2	13.6	0.57	16.0	13.9	2.01
Keldon Johnson	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.1	0.0	14.10	15.5	0.0	15.55
De'Aaron Fox	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	14.1	0.0	14.10	15.5	0.0	15.55
Luke Kornet	89	89	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	2	6	14.3	11.9	2.43	16.0	10.7	5.23
Devin Vassell	79	80	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	5	0	14.5	12.3	2.17	15.9	13.8	2.09
Kelly Olynyk	73	73	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	9	-8	14.2	13.7	0.52	16.2	13.7	2.50
Jeremy Sochan	89	90	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	9	-8	14.2	13.4	0.79	15.6	15.3	0.28
Carter Bryant	31	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	13	-16	14.6	13.9	0.75	15.3	15.6	-0.30
Lindy Waters III	11	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	14	-18	14.7	14.0	0.70	15.0	15.6	-0.61
David Jones Garcia	37	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.05	-3	13	-16	14.1	14.1	0.05	15.7	15.4	0.25
Julian Champagnie	67	69	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.06	-4	14	-18	14.6	13.0	1.55	16.1	14.2	1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.39,0.65,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 97, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.84,0.91,1	91.6%
GSW 102, CHA 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.83,1	91.4%
DAL 71, TOR 77	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.74,1	91.2%