NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	8.9 [141]		MVP	Sherman Douglas (MIL): +15.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	2.8 [511]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (DAL): -24.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	10	68%	0.20	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.21	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.07
Fred Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	17	60%	0.01	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.08
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	12	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Eric Montross	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.25	-0.08	-0.16	0.00	10	57%	-0.08	5	-0.16	8	75%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.12	0.01	8	61%	0.16	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.00	16	67%	0.17	2	-0.10	8	62%	-0.13
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	19	57%	0.13	1	-0.06	9	100%	0.07
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	8	44%	0.07	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Joe Wolf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Tower	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Darrin Hancock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	40%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	47%	0.09	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
David Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	1	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.6	29.4	14.8	30.2	1.7	37.6	139.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +34.9%

MIL +1.0%

MIL +0.0%

MIL +17.0%

DAL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIL	NBA	DAL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.6	102.1	103.1	104.4
season	15.9	16.0		99.1	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		106.0	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	14.7	14.1	14.7	14.9
MIL	15.3	17.2	14.2	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Roberts	2	3	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-4	5	12.0	14.9	-2.91	9.3	15.3	-6.00
Samaki Walker	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-3	3	13.9	15.2	-1.29	18.2	14.3	3.95
Loren Meyer	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	4	-11	17.1	14.0	3.10	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Oliver Miller	56	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-8	13	13.5	16.8	-3.34	15.5	14.7	0.80
Eric Montross	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	3	-9	16.8	13.5	3.34	14.7	15.5	-0.80
Jim Jackson	68	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-2	1	15.0	14.4	0.67	14.9	15.7	-0.83
George McCloud	49	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	13.4	16.4	-3.03	15.6	14.7	0.94
Derek Harper	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	2	-7	14.7	15.0	-0.28	16.9	13.3	3.59
Jamal Mashburn	76	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-2	1	15.0	14.2	0.87	14.1	19.6	-5.51
Jason Kidd	86	88	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.1	12.7	2.41	14.6	20.8	-6.21

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	75	73	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.42	19	-16	35	14.8	16.4	-1.64	15.5	12.8	2.71
David Wood	41	40	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-4	11	14.6	15.5	-0.93	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Armen Gilliam	89	87	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	1	1	15.0	16.7	-1.75	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Glenn Robinson	79	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	5	-7	14.6	17.6	-3.03	15.0	14.3	0.71
Elliot Perry	23	24	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	-1	5	18.0	14.3	3.74	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Keith Tower	27	26	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	-3	9	14.4	15.4	-1.02	15.8	14.5	1.37
Sherman Douglas	74	71	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	4	-5	14.3	18.0	-3.74	15.0	14.5	0.47
Darrin Hancock	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	1	1	21.9	14.6	7.23	12.4	15.0	-2.62
Ray Allen	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	14	-25	15.4	15.0	0.46	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Joe Wolf	36	36	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.10	-11	14	-25	17.1	14.0	3.08	15.1	14.7	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 92, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.28,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.84,1	92.3%
LAL 88, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	92.3%
PHX 102, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.85,1	91.9%