NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.8 [168]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +23.4%
New Orleans Pelicans	96		Comeback	2.9 [372]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -22.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Booker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.06,0.03	-0.05	0.11	0.03	11	48%	0.14	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	11	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	0.00	0.01	12	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	15	37%	-0.01	2	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Victor Oladipo	-0.23	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.19,-0.23	0.01	-0.21	0.03	16	58%	0.09	4	-0.32	4	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.14	0.05	14	76%	0.32	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.07
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.02	0.15	-0.00	16	44%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	15	77%	0.22	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	82%	0.09	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Larry Drew II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	0.02	3	-0.13	4	25%	-0.02
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	28.3	14.7	24.4	2.3	39.6	136.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +43.5%

IND -8.3%

IND -0.7%

NOP +7.9%

NOP +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOP	NBA	IND	NOP	NBA
this game	15.6	12.9	14.7	91.1	95.0	107.5
season	14.8	13.6		108.3	108.0
opponent	14.6	15.0		107.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	14.6	17.3	14.9	15.6
NOP	12.5	12.1	13.2	13.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	36	36	0.01	-0.52	0.53	0.04	-1	-3	2	16.6	15.0	1.59	11.4	13.7	-2.31
Lance Stephenson	30	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	15.9	15.5	0.36	10.9	13.8	-2.84
Thaddeus Young	65	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.32	7	-11	18	15.4	16.0	-0.56	13.9	11.0	2.91
Victor Oladipo	69	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.49	10	-14	24	15.6	15.7	-0.11	14.5	9.2	5.35
Glenn Robinson III	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	15.1	15.8	-0.72	9.4	14.1	-4.74
Al Jefferson	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	16.1	15.5	0.61	9.0	13.9	-4.86
Myles Turner	70	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-7	10	15.6	15.5	0.09	14.2	9.9	4.22
Darren Collison	64	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	0	-4	15.6	15.6	-0.01	13.7	11.6	2.12
Cory Joseph	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	7	-18	15.8	15.4	0.44	11.4	14.4	-3.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.44	-9	5	-14	15.1	16.9	-1.83	13.5	11.5	1.99

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	74	73	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.38	9	-5	14	13.5	11.1	2.39	15.4	16.2	-0.88
E'Twaun Moore	74	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-5	14	12.4	14.4	-2.06	15.2	16.8	-1.66
Rajon Rondo	60	61	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.41	5	-1	6	13.3	12.3	0.98	14.9	16.7	-1.84
Jrue Holiday	67	68	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	5	-6	13.6	11.4	2.20	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Darius Miller	42	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	5	-6	12.8	12.9	-0.12	16.3	15.1	1.19
Cheick Diallo	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	0	4	11.7	13.7	-1.99	16.7	14.8	1.84
Ian Clark	50	49	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	3	-2	13.2	12.6	0.59	16.7	14.6	2.14
Nikola Mirotic	61	61	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	8	-12	12.3	13.8	-1.53	14.6	17.1	-2.46
Larry Drew II	17	15	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	2	0	11.9	13.1	-1.15	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	18	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	8	-12	13.4	12.8	0.66	17.1	15.3	1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.28,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.85,1	93.3%
BOS 75, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1	92.6%
MIL 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.87,0.96,1	92.4%