NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	9.4 [96]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +41.8%
Charlotte Hornets	106		Comeback	2.1 [364]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -28.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.03	0.01	19	68%	0.22	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.00	-0.11	6	60%	0.17	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Draymond Green	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15	0.02	0.13	-0.00	7	79%	0.24	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	3	56%	0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.11	0.02	-0.02	10	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.19
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Poole	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	12	48%	-0.08	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Stephen Curry	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28	-0.05	-0.22	0.01	22	47%	-0.17	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.3,0.25,0.42	0.42	0.09	0.32	-0.01	14	65%	0.47	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.04
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.32	0.32	0.11	0.21	-0.00	16	63%	0.35	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	57%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.08	0.02	17	60%	0.04	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	28.0	15.3	25.5	2.5	32.5	133.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +46.4%

CHA +25.1%

GSW -3.9%

GSW -3.6%

GSW -14.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	13.9	14.5	14.5	101.0	103.9	110.8
season	14.2	14.0		112.2	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.9		112.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.5	13.7	13.7	15.8	13.9
CHA	15.2	15.1	12.5	15.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	21	22	0.29	-0.79	1.08	-0.03	11	-15	26	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.6	14.5	0.15
Otto Porter Jr.	32	32	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-9	14	14.7	13.4	1.32	14.5	14.5	0.02
Stephen Curry	77	74	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.34	14	-18	32	13.5	14.9	-1.34	14.7	14.0	0.72
Damion Lee	28	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-3	2	16.0	13.0	3.02	15.1	14.3	0.77
Gary Payton II	31	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	2	-8	13.5	14.0	-0.58	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Nemanja Bjelica	21	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	1	-6	13.4	14.0	-0.59	13.0	14.9	-1.91
Jordan Poole	62	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	4	-12	13.4	14.6	-1.20	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Andrew Wiggins	70	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	0	-4	13.3	15.0	-1.66	14.3	15.0	-0.70
Kevon Looney	45	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	3	-10	13.7	13.9	-0.21	14.6	14.4	0.19
Draymond Green	69	70	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.47	-8	4	-12	13.4	14.8	-1.45	14.7	14.2	0.53
Andre Iguodala	49	48	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.42	-11	7	-18	15.0	12.8	2.19	15.3	13.8	1.46

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	81	80	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-9	22	14.5	14.7	-0.19	14.0	13.1	0.89
Miles Bridges	90	89	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-6	16	14.4	15.7	-1.39	13.5	16.2	-2.72
Mason Plumlee	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	0	4	15.2	13.5	1.64	14.3	13.2	1.15
Cody Martin	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	0	4	14.6	14.5	0.07	14.2	13.4	0.75
Terry Rozier	71	70	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.42	-4	8	-12	14.1	15.6	-1.52	13.3	15.0	-1.66
Gordon Hayward	68	67	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	-1	6	14.1	15.3	-1.21	14.0	13.6	0.40
Kelly Oubre Jr.	34	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	4	-4	13.5	15.0	-1.49	13.2	14.2	-0.93
Jalen McDaniels	40	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.11	-7	11	-18	16.0	13.6	2.39	14.0	13.7	0.25
Ish Smith	7	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	9	-14	16.1	14.4	1.74	15.3	13.8	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.97,1	92.3%
PHX 118, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	92.2%
MIL 110, MIN 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.47,0.64,0.94,0.96,1	92.1%