NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	118		Excitement	9.0 [112]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +38.4%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	3.4 [373]		LVP	Boris Diaw (PHX): -13.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	-0.01	18	65%	0.23	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	14	75%	0.33	3	-0.14	4	75%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.15	-0.05	0.05	14	72%	0.24	4	-0.18	12	75%	-0.21
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	13	67%	0.19	7	-0.26	4	100%	0.03
DJ Strawberry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38	0.38	0.19	0.17	-0.02	27	66%	0.41	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	3	117%	0.24	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0.03,0.15,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.02	23	57%	0.30	4	-0.23	1	0%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	17	49%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	54%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	3.5	31.6	19.3	26.9	3.6	35.4	145.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +52.4%

PHX -15.5%

PHX -13.4%

GSW +26.8%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	15.4	119.2	121.2	105.7
season	13.8	13.5		111.1	109.8
opponent	15.1	15.6		107.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.1	14.4	14.7	14.2	14.6
GSW	11.6	13.3	17.3	16.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	82	83	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.35	10	-12	22	14.1	16.9	-2.75	14.7	13.4	1.25
DJ Strawberry	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.13	-9	7	-16	15.5	14.1	1.36	14.1	14.7	-0.64
Brian Skinner	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	5	-12	17.0	14.3	2.69	13.0	14.7	-1.69
Boris Diaw	75	74	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-2	2	14.3	15.6	-1.34	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Amar'e Stoudemire	67	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.46	6	-8	14	14.3	15.3	-1.09	14.7	14.1	0.64
Steve Nash	77	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-4	6	14.4	15.4	-1.03	14.5	14.3	0.25
Leandro Barbosa	68	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.39	-6	4	-10	15.1	13.5	1.68	14.7	14.1	0.58
Raja Bell	78	78	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.47	-6	4	-10	14.7	14.1	0.65	14.6	14.2	0.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelenna Azubuike	29	30	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-10	22	15.2	14.2	1.07	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Stephen Jackson	90	90	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.50	4	-2	6	14.2	17.3	-3.13	14.4	16.3	-1.90
Monta Ellis	99	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	14.5	0.0	14.48	14.6	0.0	14.61
Al Harrington	58	57	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	-2	6	14.3	14.8	-0.55	15.8	13.0	2.71
Baron Davis	93	92	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	5	-8	14.8	10.3	4.42	14.7	13.9	0.81
Andris Biedrins	26	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-4	10	15.0	14.3	0.75	15.0	14.5	0.58
Austin Croshere	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	3	-4	14.6	14.5	0.09	13.1	14.9	-1.77
Matt Barnes	56	57	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	5	-8	13.2	16.1	-2.84	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Mickael Pietrus	28	29	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.11	-11	13	-24	16.1	13.8	2.26	15.1	14.4	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.47,0.47,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 117, LAC 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.92,1	91.7%
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	91.5%
POR 60, NJN 64	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	91.5%