NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	8.8 [160]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): +33.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	122		Comeback	2.9 [676]		LVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): -18.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.11	0.10	0.00	18	62%	0.21	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.05
CJ McCollum	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.01	7	73%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	6	67%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Meyers Leonard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Lillard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.18,0.18,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.11	-0.01	12	81%	0.25	6	-0.31	2	100%	0.04
Mo Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	8	44%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	10	59%	0.01	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	0.00	16	41%	-0.16	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.11

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.12	0.22	0.00	6	87%	0.34	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.19	0.12	0.02	21	67%	0.31	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	-0.00	16	58%	0.19	0	0.00	11	91%	0.05
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.07	0.03	15	62%	0.03	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	28.2	16.4	32.4	2.6	38.5	142.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +31.9%

LAC +2.4%

POR -19.4%

LAC +34.1%

LAC +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	12.9	15.1	120.6	125.8	105.2
season	15.1	14.3		109.6	111.0
opponent	15.4	14.8		104.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.5	14.5	18.5	17.1	16.8
LAC	12.5	13.2	12.8	12.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Meyers Leonard	27	27	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-14	23	17.8	16.4	1.33	11.9	13.2	-1.32
Dorell Wright	28	28	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.01	8	-13	21	15.1	17.5	-2.35	12.0	13.2	-1.28
CJ McCollum	30	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-2	-1	17.7	16.4	1.28	11.6	13.4	-1.73
Mo Williams	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	0	-5	16.3	17.5	-1.29	12.6	13.3	-0.68
Nicolas Batum	76	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.31	-2	-3	1	16.5	18.0	-1.57	12.4	14.6	-2.28
Damian Lillard	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	16.4	17.6	-1.25	13.1	12.4	0.65
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	1	-7	17.7	14.6	3.03	13.5	11.0	2.51
Wesley Matthews	65	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.41	-9	4	-13	17.5	15.4	2.10	13.6	11.3	2.28
Robin Lopez	70	69	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.39	-14	9	-23	16.4	17.8	-1.33	13.3	11.7	1.58

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	76	75	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-1	7	13.3	11.4	1.91	17.6	14.2	3.40
Matt Barnes	57	55	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	5	-5	13.3	12.3	0.98	17.5	15.9	1.69
Blake Griffin	77	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	5	-5	13.0	12.5	0.41	17.6	13.8	3.73
DeAndre Jordan	69	72	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	6	-7	13.6	11.0	2.59	17.5	14.9	2.61
Jamal Crawford	74	73	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	7	-9	12.6	13.9	-1.36	17.4	15.0	2.47
Hedo Turkoglu	18	19	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-2	9	12.9	12.9	0.02	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Jared Dudley	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.06	7	-2	9	11.6	13.6	-1.94	14.8	17.9	-3.07
Darren Collison	39	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	-2	9	12.2	13.3	-1.12	15.8	17.5	-1.71
Ryan Hollins	16	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	13.6	12.7	0.82	12.9	17.5	-4.67
Reggie Bullock	25	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	5	-5	11.6	13.3	-1.67	15.0	17.4	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.61,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.91,1	92.2%
IND 92, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.28,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.84,0.84,1	92.0%
LAL 88, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.56,0.85,1	92.0%