NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	110		Excitement	8.6 [175]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +10.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Comeback	2.4 [582]		LVP	Troy Hudson (MIN): -18.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	0.10	-0.04	0.04	24	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	12	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06	0.10	-0.13	0.03	18	73%	0.14	4	-0.21	8	100%	0.06
Toni Kukoc	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	62%	0.07	4	-0.16	1	0%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	13	63%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.09
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	17	62%	0.18	1	-0.09	11	91%	0.11
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	6	43%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	13	48%	-0.00	4	-0.18	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	506.4	2.3	28.6	15.6	24.1	1.6	33.5	612.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +5.0%

MIN +32.7%

MIN +11.1%

MIN +3.0%

MIL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	13.4	15.5	107.8	111.8	101.6
season	15.4	14.9		106.3	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.8		102.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.4	14.2	15.1	14.5	14.8
MIN	12.3	14.0	13.2	14.3	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	47	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.08	0	-4	4	15.3	14.4	0.93	13.3	13.5	-0.19
Jason Caffey	26	27	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-5	6	14.7	14.8	-0.19	14.6	13.0	1.57
Toni Kukoc	17	16	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-4	4	14.6	14.8	-0.18	13.2	13.5	-0.23
Michael Redd	43	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	14.6	14.9	-0.29	13.1	13.7	-0.59
Kevin Ollie	23	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	2	-8	15.4	14.6	0.83	14.3	13.2	1.13
Ray Allen	83	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	14.3	16.9	-2.58	13.7	12.3	1.45
Anthony Mason	77	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-4	4	15.0	14.1	0.89	13.4	13.6	-0.16
Sam Cassell	80	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-2	0	14.4	16.1	-1.71	13.1	15.0	-1.92
Ervin Johnson	38	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.39	-5	1	-6	14.8	14.8	-0.01	13.2	13.6	-0.35
Tim Thomas	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	2	-8	15.2	13.7	1.43	13.3	13.8	-0.44

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	81	81	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-6	16	12.9	15.4	-2.44	15.1	13.5	1.60
Kendall Gill	50	53	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	13.7	13.2	0.47	14.6	15.0	-0.47
Troy Hudson	64	65	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.48	4	0	4	13.1	14.0	-0.93	15.1	14.2	0.91
Wally Szczerbiak	75	74	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-2	8	13.3	13.9	-0.61	14.8	14.8	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	49	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	7	-10	14.7	12.3	2.45	15.7	13.8	1.87
Loren Woods	75	73	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.07	-1	5	-6	13.5	13.3	0.15	15.1	13.9	1.21
Anthony Peeler	32	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	7	-10	13.9	13.2	0.68	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Reggie Slater	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	4	-4	12.6	13.6	-0.97	14.4	14.8	-0.48
Rod Strickland	38	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.10	0	4	-4	14.0	13.1	0.93	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Gary Trent	34	33	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.07	-4	8	-12	12.6	13.9	-1.28	13.8	15.2	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.61,0.47,0.64,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 75, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1	92.5%
DET 90, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	92.0%
CHI 87, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.61,0.46,0.77,0.85,1	91.9%