NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	90		Excitement	6.9 [340]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +31.3%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.6 [675]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -13.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.05	-0.00	17	64%	0.22	1	-0.02	11	82%	-0.00
Ben Gordon	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.01	10	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.03
Jonas Jerebko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	41%	0.01	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.19	0.17	0.04	18	82%	0.45	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.14	0.03	7	94%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	10	63%	0.11	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	11	43%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	26.3	15.7	25.5	2.5	36.3	133.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.7%

DET -1.8%

UTA +33.2%

DET -20.7%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	UTA	NBA	DET	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.6	96.8	112.9	102.8
season	16.3	15.8		99.5	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.8	16.8	15.7	15.9	16.1
UTA	15.5	12.0	15.7	16.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	26	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-13	11	16.7	15.8	0.92	17.1	14.1	3.02
Jonas Jerebko	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-12	9	16.4	15.8	0.62	16.1	14.2	1.88
Greg Monroe	58	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-5	-5	15.7	16.7	-0.95	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Ben Wallace	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-10	5	16.7	15.7	0.95	15.6	14.5	1.08
Ben Gordon	56	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	15.4	17.1	-1.73	15.4	14.2	1.16
Rodney Stuckey	72	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.6	17.7	-2.07	14.5	16.3	-1.84
Brandon Knight	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	0	-15	16.6	15.0	1.55	14.5	15.7	-1.18
Jason Maxiell	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-9	3	16.6	15.4	1.17	14.6	15.3	-0.65
Tayshaun Prince	67	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-2	-11	15.8	16.7	-0.92	14.1	17.1	-3.02

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	66	66	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.01	22	-7	29	14.3	16.5	-2.22	16.3	15.4	0.87
CJ Miles	43	43	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-1	17	15.4	14.5	0.87	16.0	16.1	-0.03
Raja Bell	55	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-1	17	14.7	15.2	-0.56	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Al Jefferson	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	0	15	14.7	15.5	-0.80	16.3	15.3	0.95
Devin Harris	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	1	13	14.5	15.7	-1.24	15.9	16.4	-0.52
Earl Watson	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	14	-13	15.7	14.5	1.24	16.4	15.9	0.52
Gordon Hayward	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	16	-17	15.2	14.7	0.56	16.1	16.0	0.07
Enes Kanter	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	18	-21	16.3	14.5	1.78	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Derrick Favors	32	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	19	-23	15.8	14.4	1.43	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Josh Howard	50	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	16	-17	14.5	15.4	-0.87	16.1	16.0	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.85,0.96,0.96,1	93.0%
ATL 91, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.67,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.78,0.95,1	92.3%
CHH 78, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.98,0.98,1	92.2%