NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	78		Excitement	8.3 [113]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +2.0%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	2.4 [337]		LVP	Ike Austin (ORL): -20.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.02	0.04	14	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	15	56%	0.13	3	-0.13	6	67%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chuck Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Eldridge Recasner	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	11	41%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	17	31%	-0.07	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	11	23%	-0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	14	72%	0.16	5	-0.20	11	100%	0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	11	48%	0.07	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.04
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	9	41%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	12	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.19	-0.03	-0.01	9	14%	-0.16	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.5	28.2	15.8	26.5	2.4	32.2	131.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +9.5%

ORL +18.3%

ORL +7.2%

ORL +11.7%

ORL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	ORL	NBA	CHH	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.8	83.9	93.5	99.6
season	15.7	16.1		99.2	98.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		95.7	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.6	14.0	14.0	15.7	14.8
ORL	16.3	15.4	15.3	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	19	21	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-16	24	14.8	14.8	-0.02	16.9	16.2	0.67
Ricky Davis	22	21	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.10	8	-16	24	14.8	14.8	-0.04	16.2	16.4	-0.19
Chuck Person	20	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-13	18	15.8	14.5	1.33	20.9	15.0	5.86
Eldridge Recasner	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-9	10	16.1	14.4	1.70	21.3	14.7	6.57
Chucky Brown	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-8	8	16.1	14.5	1.65	21.3	14.9	6.41
David Wesley	70	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	1	-10	14.4	16.1	-1.70	14.7	21.3	-6.57
Bobby Phills	73	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	5	-18	14.5	15.8	-1.33	15.0	20.9	-5.86
Elden Campbell	71	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	5	-18	14.7	15.2	-0.49	15.7	18.3	-2.57
Derrick Coleman	76	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	3	-14	14.6	15.8	-1.24	15.4	20.1	-4.62
Eddie Jones	71	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.16	-16	8	-24	14.8	14.8	0.04	16.4	16.2	0.19

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	77	79	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-8	24	15.8	19.1	-3.34	14.8	14.6	0.28
Horace Grant	66	67	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	-1	10	15.6	18.2	-2.53	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Michael Doleac	41	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	4	0	17.5	15.4	2.03	15.4	14.3	1.05
Darrell Armstrong	54	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-6	20	16.0	16.8	-0.73	14.3	15.7	-1.46
Matt Harpring	53	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	6	-4	17.9	14.2	3.79	15.4	14.1	1.25
Anfernee Hardaway	81	82	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	7	-6	15.6	21.7	-6.12	14.7	15.4	-0.63
Ike Austin	51	51	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	4	0	15.4	17.5	-2.03	14.3	15.4	-1.05
Derek Strong	26	26	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.08	-1	9	-10	18.2	15.6	2.53	15.5	14.5	1.02
Dominique Wilkins	11	9	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	17	-26	19.3	15.9	3.33	15.4	14.7	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 77, CLE 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,1	92.7%
DET 90, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	92.2%
NOH 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	92.1%