NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	85		Excitement	6.7 [502]		MVP	Jim Jackson (PHX): +26.5%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	2.0 [787]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -19.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maciej Lampe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	3	33%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	12	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	42%	-0.00	1	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07
Lee Nailon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	60%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jackson Vroman	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	27	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	13	34%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	5	20%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	111%	0.28	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	64%	0.13	2	-0.09	16	94%	0.09
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	10	45%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	57%	0.05	1	-0.05	6	67%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	21	41%	-0.04	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	11	27%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.5	29.5	15.4	22.5	2.5	30.2	123.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +54.3%

PHX +14.9%

PHX +1.7%

NOH -19.7%

NOH -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	13.5	15.5	90.4	104.2	104.0
season	16.5	13.5		97.7	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.7		106.2	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.1	16.2	17.4	19.9	17.0
PHX	12.6	13.8	13.3	14.4	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jackson Vroman	41	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-12	10	16.5	17.5	-0.97	13.1	13.8	-0.66
Bostjan Nachbar	27	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.10	-3	-11	8	18.5	16.4	2.03	14.2	13.1	1.12
Maciej Lampe	28	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-9	4	19.0	16.2	2.80	15.6	12.5	3.01
Casey Jacobsen	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.16	-3	-11	8	17.3	16.8	0.54	14.5	12.7	1.77
P.J. Brown	66	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	16.2	19.0	-2.80	12.5	15.6	-3.01
J.R. Smith	74	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-3	-8	17.0	17.2	-0.28	13.6	13.0	0.58
Lee Nailon	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-3	-8	16.8	17.5	-0.77	13.3	13.8	-0.53
Dan Dickau	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	0	-14	16.6	18.8	-2.16	12.6	16.5	-3.91
David West	53	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	-2	-10	17.5	16.5	0.97	13.8	13.1	0.66

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	84	84	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.12	19	-5	24	13.0	17.1	-4.10	17.2	15.2	2.05
Shawn Marion	79	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.11	19	-5	24	13.4	13.7	-0.27	17.2	16.1	1.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	72	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-4	22	13.2	14.2	-1.05	17.2	16.4	0.87
Joe Johnson	86	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	1	12	13.5	13.4	0.02	16.7	20.0	-3.32
Steve Nash	70	70	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	6	2	13.5	13.4	0.09	16.6	18.2	-1.64
Leandro Barbosa	40	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	11	-8	13.9	13.1	0.80	18.0	16.4	1.67
Steven Hunter	24	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	18	-22	14.2	13.2	1.05	16.4	17.2	-0.87
Walter McCarty	21	20	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	20	-26	14.6	13.1	1.42	16.5	17.2	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.8%
SAS 76, NOK 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.95,0.97,0.89,1,1,1	92.7%
PHI 100, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.86,0.93,1,1,1	92.7%