NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	7.2 [365]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (HOU): +19.8%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	3.2 [741]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -22.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.02	21	60%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Channing Frye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	7	44%	0.05	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Elfrid Payton	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.01	9	65%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.07	-0.00	17	30%	-0.12	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.11	0.01	11	77%	0.25	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.07	0.04	12	72%	0.19	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.14	-0.01	10	59%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	9	77%	0.26	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	14	44%	-0.00	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.4	16.5	25.4	1.0	30.0	129.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +61.7%

HOU +6.3%

HOU +0.2%

ORL -17.9%

ORL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	HOU	NBA	ORL	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	14.8	15.1	98.9	113.8	104.2
season	14.9	14.3		100.4	105.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	17.0	13.2	16.6	15.6
HOU	13.6	17.3	13.0	16.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-11	9	21.9	15.1	6.72	17.1	14.7	2.49
Aaron Gordon	20	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-12	11	14.8	15.8	-0.99	10.6	15.9	-5.28
Maurice Harkless	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-12	11	16.7	15.1	1.63	14.9	14.8	0.07
Ben Gordon	34	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-12	11	16.7	15.0	1.72	16.5	13.9	2.65
Tobias Harris	33	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-7	1	15.5	15.7	-0.27	15.3	14.6	0.67
Dewayne Dedmon	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-12	11	15.3	15.9	-0.59	15.4	14.3	1.03
Elfrid Payton	67	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-2	-9	14.5	18.4	-3.92	15.3	13.5	1.85
Channing Frye	52	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	16.2	15.0	1.15	15.0	14.7	0.30
Nikola Vucevic	67	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	1	-15	14.9	17.5	-2.65	14.1	16.6	-2.41
Victor Oladipo	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-2	-9	14.8	19.2	-4.39	14.3	17.3	-3.00
Luke Ridnour	38	35	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	-3	-7	17.8	14.2	3.64	15.2	14.6	0.62

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	69	69	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.01	23	-10	33	15.3	13.6	1.64	15.7	15.5	0.23
Corey Brewer	54	54	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	2	9	14.9	14.7	0.20	16.0	15.1	0.85
Terrence Jones	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	8	-3	13.8	17.1	-3.32	14.9	17.1	-2.17
James Harden	72	73	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.09	14	-1	15	14.0	17.5	-3.53	14.7	18.9	-4.21
Donatas Motiejunas	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	3	7	16.0	12.8	3.21	15.8	15.3	0.50
Josh Smith	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	4	5	14.1	15.8	-1.75	16.0	15.2	0.79
Trevor Ariza	61	62	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.08	3	10	-7	15.3	13.9	1.39	16.6	13.9	2.69
Joey Dorsey	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	11	-9	18.1	14.4	3.72	16.8	15.4	1.41
KJ McDaniels	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	40.0	14.6	25.43	9.0	15.7	-6.70
Nick Johnson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	40.0	14.6	25.43	9.0	15.7	-6.70
Pablo Prigioni	24	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	21	-29	12.5	15.6	-3.09	15.7	15.6	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 96, TOR 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.97,1,1	93.5%
LAL 96, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.5%
DEN 119, MIA 124	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.97,1,1	93.3%