inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 96 Excitement6.2 [564] MVPKarl Malone (LAL): +10.4%
Detroit Pistons 106 Comeback1.5 [825] LVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): -11.7%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl Malone0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.050.031371%0.162-0.052100%0.02
Gary Payton0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.030.021075%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Jamal Sampson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryon Russell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.00250%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Devean George-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00850%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.02-0.00633%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.011449%-0.0600.0011100%0.05
Kareem Rush-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.050.0030%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Horace Grant-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.06-0.00935%-0.1100.00250%-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal-0.120,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.06-0.050.001653%0.024-0.14667%-0.03

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.06-0.00778%0.183-0.104100%0.03
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.040.02483%0.0800.004100%0.04
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.040.040.040.020.021565%0.123-0.08786%0.03
Tremaine Fowlkes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.00475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.01865%0.071-0.03475%-0.01
Darvin Ham00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00753%0.043-0.0810%-0.02
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.030.031158%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Elden Campbell0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00337%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.040.031155%0.002-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.82.429.215.825.42.337.4139.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +40.5%
DET +13.5%
DET +21.4%
LAL -25.7%
DET +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDETNBALALDETNBA
this game15.616.815.7107.9119.1100.5
season15.416.2102.899.2
opponent16.015.692.699.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.416.715.414.815.6
DET15.215.319.917.216.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Sampson43-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-101013.215.7-2.4211.717.0-5.31
Shaquille O'Neal5657-0.05-0.450.40-0.112-121415.615.50.1217.914.83.15
Bryon Russell1515-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-7415.715.50.1315.017.2-2.16
Devean George5252-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-101016.114.81.2417.715.52.20
Derek Fisher3332-0.23-0.270.04-0.17-2-8615.615.50.1216.716.8-0.07
Gary Payton7574-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.05-7-3-415.118.1-2.9817.015.61.44
Kareem Rush1719-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.02-9-1-813.916.0-2.0815.517.1-1.62
Karl Malone7577-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.19-9-1-815.317.1-1.8816.816.70.15
Horace Grant4341-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.08-133-1616.214.91.3015.617.9-2.29
Kobe Bryant7575-0.530.03-0.56-0.27-9-1-816.013.22.7916.617.7-1.09

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bob Sura40400.63-0.130.760.1317-72416.117.4-1.2715.115.9-0.75
Corliss Williamson51490.60-0.100.690.4264216.417.4-1.0015.915.10.84
Tremaine Fowlkes29290.490.010.480.2391815.217.6-2.4116.815.01.83
Lindsey Hunter27280.370.130.250.1773415.617.3-1.6816.215.21.00
Mehmet Okur47450.330.170.160.0791815.718.0-2.2314.117.0-2.89
Ben Wallace61610.230.27-0.050.0273417.415.61.7915.715.30.40
Richard Hamilton58570.120.38-0.270.0919-817.415.71.6715.316.1-0.83
Chauncey Billups65650.110.39-0.29-0.0146-217.315.41.8915.216.6-1.40
Darvin Ham23-0.070.57-0.63-0.01-212-145.517.1-11.5611.015.7-4.72
Elden Campbell1719-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-212-1420.316.04.3219.114.64.44
Tayshaun Prince4849-0.190.69-0.87-0.01-616-2217.615.81.8015.315.8-0.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 76, HOU 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,193.7%
ORL 94, HOU 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,193.5%
PHI 71, NYK 780.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,1,1,1,193.3%