NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	91		Excitement	8.7 [144]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +11.5%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	2.3 [586]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (ATL): -36.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	56%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Chris Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.08	4	75%	-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	12	52%	-0.02	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.05
Bimbo Coles	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.01	14	55%	0.02	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14	0.06	-0.18	0.01	13	69%	0.06	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.17	-0.19	0.01	23	34%	-0.25	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	12	69%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	20	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	14	86%	0.07
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.16	0.00	15	35%	-0.13	3	-0.17	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	26.1	16.5	25.4	1.7	42.1	140.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -8.7%

DET +34.4%

ATL -8.5%

DET +30.1%

DET +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	15.4	15.1	15.2	96.8	97.9	101.7
season	15.4	14.1		99.3	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	17.6	15.6	13.4	15.4
DET	14.1	15.1	16.4	14.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	16	16	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-1	0	16.4	15.2	1.23	16.1	14.9	1.20
Chris Crawford	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	14.5	15.5	-0.98	17.4	14.9	2.55
Lorenzen Wright	17	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	4	-10	18.9	14.6	4.30	13.7	15.4	-1.65
Jason Terry	20	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	3	-8	18.0	14.7	3.28	14.4	15.2	-0.78
Isaiah Rider	68	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-2	2	15.8	14.4	1.37	15.2	14.7	0.47
Jim Jackson	65	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.44	6	-8	14	14.8	16.8	-1.99	15.3	14.6	0.64
Bimbo Coles	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-5	8	14.8	17.1	-2.30	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Alan Henderson	84	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.47	3	-5	8	15.1	18.2	-3.12	15.2	14.3	0.85
Roshown McLeod	39	39	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	15.3	15.5	-0.23	14.0	15.8	-1.80
Dikembe Mutombo	87	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	1	-4	15.0	20.0	-4.95	15.4	11.5	3.89

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-3	8	15.3	14.5	0.81	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Grant Hill	82	82	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	1	0	15.1	14.5	0.61	15.1	17.7	-2.58
Jerry Stackhouse	84	84	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	3	-4	15.2	14.3	0.89	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Christian Laettner	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	4	-6	15.5	14.5	0.96	15.3	15.6	-0.31
Lindsey Hunter	71	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	6	-10	14.7	16.1	-1.42	14.9	16.9	-1.98
Jerome Williams	44	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-2	6	14.5	15.5	-0.96	15.6	15.3	0.31
Eric Montross	16	16	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	4	-6	15.9	14.9	1.05	14.8	15.5	-0.73
Jud Buechler	11	11	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.02	3	-1	4	14.0	15.2	-1.20	17.8	15.1	2.72
Michael Curry	23	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	16.2	14.7	1.47	14.3	15.7	-1.42
John Crotty	15	15	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	-2	6	13.9	15.3	-1.34	18.3	14.9	3.47
Loy Vaught	7	7	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	1	0	12.9	15.2	-2.38	20.0	15.0	4.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.67,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,1	92.4%
DET 90, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	92.3%
DEN 94, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	92.0%