NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	8.3 [97]		MVP	Quentin Grimes (PHI): +41.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	8.9 [78]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -35.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.15	-0.02	8	52%	0.22	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.06
Kobe Sanders	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	11	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Chris Paul	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	2	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	43%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cam Christie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.36	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.36	-0.04	-0.31	0.01	25	45%	-0.23	4	-0.13	12	100%	0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.27	0.02	10	76%	0.41	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.44,0.38,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	-0.00	27	61%	0.45	4	-0.19	10	90%	0.04
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	8	70%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
VJ Edgecombe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared McCain	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominick Barlow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	0.1	29.8	0.0	32.4	0.0	43.8	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +82.2%

LAC -37.9%

PHI +9.6%

LAC -3.1%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHI	NBA	LAC	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.1	111.3	113.4	113.7
season	15.4	14.7		112.6	113.7
opponent	13.6	13.8		112.0	117.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	11.7	15.8	16.0	18.0	15.3
PHI	15.8	18.5	11.0	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	74	73	0.37	-0.87	1.25	0.08	10	-12	22	14.4	18.0	-3.55	14.9	12.7	2.14
Cam Christie	44	42	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.01	7	-9	16	13.6	16.7	-3.11	16.2	12.9	3.31
Chris Paul	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	4	-10	17.0	14.8	2.24	15.9	14.0	1.94
Nicolas Batum	96	96	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	0	-2	15.3	11.0	4.33	14.5	0.0	14.51
Bogdan Bogdanovi?	96	96	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.38	-2	0	-2	15.3	11.0	4.33	14.5	0.0	14.51
James Harden	97	97	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	15.3	0.0	15.29	14.4	0.0	14.36
Ivica Zubac	67	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.48	-7	5	-12	15.3	15.2	0.18	15.4	11.9	3.51
Kobe Sanders	90	90	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.39	-10	8	-18	15.6	11.6	4.01	14.3	15.6	-1.30
Kris Dunn	74	74	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.53	-7	5	-12	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.0	12.3	2.64
John Collins	72	73	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.48	-11	9	-20	15.5	14.8	0.71	15.0	12.4	2.58

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Grimes	85	88	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-11	24	14.7	12.2	2.50	15.2	16.0	-0.78
VJ Edgecombe	90	92	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-7	16	14.4	13.7	0.70	15.1	18.2	-3.07
Trendon Watford	76	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.49	4	-2	6	13.2	18.5	-5.31	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Andre Drummond	75	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.53	2	0	2	15.1	11.9	3.17	15.4	15.0	0.43
Tyrese Maxey	93	93	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	0	2	14.2	18.2	-4.06	15.5	11.0	4.47
Jared McCain	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	4	-6	19.2	13.9	5.36	15.8	15.2	0.57
Jabari Walker	26	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	10	-18	15.8	13.8	1.98	11.7	16.6	-4.86
Paul George	44	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.04	-9	11	-20	15.5	13.4	2.04	14.3	16.2	-1.86
Justin Edwards	73	74	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.08	-10	12	-22	14.9	12.7	2.14	14.4	18.0	-3.55
Dominick Barlow	64	65	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.05	-11	13	-24	15.0	13.1	1.88	14.8	16.2	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.77,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, IND 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.78,0.97,0.99,1	91.4%
CHH 78, CHI 76	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.86,1	91.2%
MIL 114, ATL 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.62,0.64,0.94,0.97,1	91.2%