inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 75 Excitement5.7 [670] MVPAustin Croshere (IND): +10.9%
Indiana Pacers 80 Comeback8.6 [196] LVPCorliss Williamson (DET): -17.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chucky Atkins0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.010.00764%0.0400.0000%0.00
Zeljko Rebraca0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00480%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Bob Sura-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000100%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.040.011150%-0.011-0.054100%0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.011246%0.053-0.112100%0.01
Mehmet Okur-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00650%-0.013-0.07250%-0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00560%0.014-0.0900%0.00
Ben Wallace-0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12-0.07-0.050.00948%-0.072-0.05757%-0.05
Corliss Williamson-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17-0.12-0.06-0.01929%-0.112-0.05367%-0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.110.110.050.04-0.02671%0.1100.00580%0.02
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.01667%0.0400.0000%0.00
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,0,0,0,-0.01-0.01-0.130.12-0.012046%0.115-0.11887%0.06
Jamison Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.010.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001136%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.01540%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.02-0.012045%0.014-0.11250%-0.02
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.01619%-0.1000.00475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.727.517.824.11.844.4144.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET -2.7%
IND +7.9%
IND +19.2%
IND +26.1%
DET -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game17.017.515.789.396.4100.5
season16.216.799.2101.1
opponent15.716.094.792.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.317.219.016.917.0
IND18.220.718.913.117.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zeljko Rebraca29290.17-0.670.830.112-7919.815.54.2519.316.52.76
Corliss Williamson36340.11-0.610.72-0.076-111717.616.51.1018.516.81.72
Tremaine Fowlkes17150.07-0.570.650.070-5518.216.71.4618.817.21.61
Bob Sura13130.07-0.570.640.012-7917.416.90.4419.917.02.89
Tayshaun Prince5252-0.22-0.280.06-0.19-1-4316.118.5-2.4516.519.2-2.73
Chucky Atkins4344-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-2-117.916.11.7917.717.20.57
Mehmet Okur3737-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.27-72-916.717.3-0.5517.917.20.74
Chauncey Billups6765-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.35-50-516.618.6-2.0516.819.9-3.07
Ben Wallace6766-0.570.07-0.64-0.39-61-716.419.6-3.2317.218.5-1.32
Richard Hamilton5960-0.800.30-1.09-0.41-138-2116.418.4-1.9216.619.7-3.06

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace75770.69-0.190.880.3113-82117.121.4-4.3116.819.4-2.64
Reggie Miller63640.69-0.190.870.429-41316.620.3-3.7816.917.2-0.31
Jermaine O'Neal68680.68-0.180.870.458-31116.920.3-3.4816.917.6-0.68
Austin Croshere38370.65-0.150.790.447-2916.118.6-2.4917.416.70.61
Jamison Brewer20200.390.110.270.0910-51517.317.5-0.1719.916.13.79
Anthony Johnson43430.350.150.190.147-2917.018.0-1.0016.117.9-1.79
Jeff Foster3838-0.080.58-0.67-0.03-27-918.516.61.9316.517.4-0.93
Fred Jones2021-0.220.72-0.95-0.05-611-1719.816.73.1217.017.0-0.02
Kenny Anderson2021-0.230.73-0.970.12-1217-2918.617.11.5416.017.3-1.29
Al Harrington3031-0.400.90-1.30-0.13-914-2320.715.74.9918.216.31.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.78,0.97,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 77, CHI 840.5,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.78,0.8,0.99,191.9%
NOH 117, ORL 1230.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,191.8%
PHX 90, SAC 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.41,0.39,0.62,0.84,0.84,0.98,191.6%