NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	114		Excitement	7.6 [333]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): +22.7%
Atlanta Hawks	121		Comeback	12.1 [87]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -7.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Connaughton	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.05	0.04	6	117%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	54%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.02	-0.05	22	65%	0.36	8	-0.29	8	100%	0.06
Grayson Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Nwora	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	20	50%	0.01	5	-0.09	14	71%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	5	89%	0.29	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.10	0.07	17	62%	0.19	3	-0.06	14	100%	0.08
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.10	-0.02	15	43%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	15	47%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.4	24.6	16.3	34.7	3.3	42.9	150.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +28.4%

ATL +8.3%

ATL +10.3%

ATL +1.7%

ATL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.1	14.7	14.5	111.8	115.2	110.8
season	13.7	14.6		112.2	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.8		113.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.1	12.7	13.8	11.9	13.1
ATL	15.9	16.1	13.4	13.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	57	60	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.08	7	-14	21	13.5	12.6	0.95	15.7	13.4	2.34
Wesley Matthews	42	42	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-9	11	14.3	12.2	2.12	14.9	14.6	0.28
Jordan Nwora	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-5	3	12.1	13.2	-1.18	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Bobby Portis	67	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.43	8	-15	23	12.7	13.8	-1.13	15.6	12.9	2.62
Donte DiVincenzo	48	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	5	-17	14.2	12.1	2.12	13.0	16.0	-3.00
George Hill	68	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-10	13	12.4	14.5	-2.07	15.2	13.6	1.58
Khris Middleton	76	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-4	1	12.4	15.2	-2.77	14.6	15.0	-0.33
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	82	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.25	-17	10	-27	12.7	14.5	-1.85	14.9	13.9	1.03
Pat Connaughton	59	60	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.34	-21	14	-35	13.8	12.1	1.76	13.2	16.7	-3.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	82	80	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.34	19	-12	31	14.3	16.2	-1.87	12.9	13.6	-0.70
Trae Young	88	86	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.28	16	-9	25	14.1	17.8	-3.64	13.1	12.8	0.33
Danilo Gallinari	68	65	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-6	19	13.7	16.5	-2.82	12.8	13.5	-0.67
Onyeka Okongwu	76	73	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-4	15	15.3	13.2	2.13	13.0	13.4	-0.41
De'Andre Hunter	76	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	7	-7	15.0	14.0	1.03	12.9	13.6	-0.77
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	7	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	12	-17	15.6	14.7	0.92	15.4	12.9	2.48
Lou Williams	28	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.04	-3	10	-13	16.5	14.1	2.44	13.4	13.0	0.41
Delon Wright	34	31	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	13	-19	14.9	14.6	0.34	13.0	13.1	-0.13
John Collins	66	66	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.07	-10	17	-27	15.1	14.1	0.93	13.5	12.4	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.33,0.62,0.64,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 75, IND 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.78,0.97,0.99,1	91.9%
HOU 93, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.77,0.98,1	91.3%
MIL 104, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.27,0.39,0.63,0.67,0.92,1	91.3%