NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	78		Excitement	9.7 [59]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +23.4%
Chicago Bulls	76		Comeback	9999+ [1260]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -30.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.03	0.10	3	87%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.07
Dell Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.12	0.17	0.33	8	83%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.08
Glen Rice	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.05	-0.02	0.26	0.29	13	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.20
Bobby Phills	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	8	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.14	-0.06	12	27%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.02
B.J. Armstrong	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.5,-0.5,-0.37,-0.36,-0.36,-0.28	0.00	0.19	0.48	8	56%	-0.27	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.14
Anthony Mason	-0.30	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.05	0.07	0.33	12	50%	-0.19	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.15,0.02,0.18,0.14,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.29	0.08	21	49%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	0.09
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.02	3	117%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.02
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.13	0.16	13	52%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	-0.08
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	0.05	4	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	0.02	-0.05	8	12%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	0.01	0.18	12	37%	-0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.11	-0.06	0.12	16	36%	-0.19	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	697.2	0.2	-23.7	0.3	-23.8	0.1	-36.6	613.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -67.8%

CHH +13.3%

CHI -9.1%

CHI -0.4%

CHH +114.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	17.8	15.7	15.6	89.7	90.5	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		104.0	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	19.0	20.1	17.4	15.0	17.8
CHI	12.3	16.7	16.1	17.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	37	35	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.08	6	-9	15	20.5	15.7	4.79	15.1	16.0	-0.88
Bobby Phills	43	40	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.10	10	-13	23	18.2	17.3	0.85	13.5	17.6	-4.11
J.R. Reid	28	27	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.10	3	-6	9	19.7	16.8	2.94	14.1	16.4	-2.33
Donald Royal	20	19	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.09	-2	-1	-1	17.2	17.9	-0.66	16.0	15.6	0.45
Matt Geiger	8	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	0	-3	20.0	17.5	2.47	20.3	15.2	5.05
Corey Beck	8	10	-0.04	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	17.2	17.8	-0.56	14.9	15.8	-0.86
Glen Rice	65	63	-0.51	0.02	-0.53	-0.54	1	-4	5	17.9	17.2	0.71	15.6	16.0	-0.40
Vlade Divac	64	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.55	1	-4	5	17.3	19.1	-1.86	15.4	16.4	-1.04
Anthony Mason	79	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.45	-4	1	-5	17.9	15.9	2.07	15.4	19.0	-3.60
Dell Curry	38	35	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.34	-9	6	-15	16.5	18.8	-2.28	18.0	14.0	3.97
B.J. Armstrong	51	50	-0.79	0.30	-1.09	-0.50	-10	7	-17	15.4	21.1	-5.67	15.8	15.4	0.41

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	70	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-2	7	14.4	21.9	-7.53	18.2	15.4	2.78
Scottie Pippen	74	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	2	-1	14.7	22.7	-8.00	17.7	18.4	-0.72
Steve Kerr	47	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	-3	9	16.1	15.1	0.93	16.4	19.4	-2.95
Dennis Rodman	71	72	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	0	3	16.7	9.8	6.87	18.6	13.5	5.11
Luc Longley	41	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	7	-11	15.0	16.3	-1.23	18.4	17.2	1.21
Randy Brown	7	5	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	1	1	21.9	15.1	6.77	15.6	17.9	-2.29
Toni Kukoc	44	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	-5	13	16.9	14.3	2.59	16.0	20.0	-4.03
Bill Wennington	6	6	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	17.3	15.5	1.81	22.2	17.4	4.73
Jud Buechler	1	2	-0.05	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	5	-7	3.0	15.8	-12.81	0.5	18.2	-17.66
Scott Burrell	26	26	-0.11	0.60	-0.71	-0.08	-1	4	-5	14.7	16.1	-1.34	17.2	18.0	-0.75
Ron Harper	33	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.02	-6	9	-15	16.2	15.3	0.92	19.7	16.5	3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.86,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 79, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.46,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	93.1%
PHI 82, LAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.31,0.2,0.47,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.91,1	92.6%
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.22,0.33,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.94,0.99,1	92.1%