NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	79		Excitement	7.6 [320]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +21.3%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	22.1 [104]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (SAC): -41.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	9	54%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	17	50%	0.12	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Francisco Garcia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	0.02	-0.12	0.01	8	50%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	6	29%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.2	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	16	39%	-0.06	3	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Bonzi Wells	-0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.26	-0.17	-0.01	11	30%	-0.13	9	-0.28	5	40%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.13	0.01	7	77%	0.32	5	-0.11	17	94%	0.08
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	58%	0.05	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	0.00	15	53%	0.04	3	-0.17	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	33.0	16.6	26.3	2.3	41.5	143.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.8%

UTA +14.2%

UTA +3.1%

UTA +6.3%

SAC -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.6	86.8	97.8	104.4
season	15.3	17.0		104.7	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.6	14.6	18.5	16.2	15.7
UTA	19.1	17.3	19.4	9.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	35	33	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.06	2	-12	14	15.8	15.6	0.19	15.5	16.2	-0.66
Metta World Peace	64	65	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.17	9	-19	28	17.0	12.7	4.29	16.9	13.7	3.24
Corliss Williamson	16	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-7	4	14.5	15.9	-1.43	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Francisco Garcia	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-9	8	14.7	15.9	-1.20	15.9	16.0	-0.10
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-9	8	16.1	14.4	1.67	16.4	14.8	1.59
Kevin Martin	48	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	14.7	16.8	-2.10	13.9	18.0	-4.02
Mike Bibby	79	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	0	-10	15.6	15.9	-0.27	16.3	14.0	2.27
Kenny Thomas	59	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	3	-16	15.3	16.4	-1.07	16.4	15.0	1.42
Bonzi Wells	69	70	-0.94	0.44	-1.39	-0.18	-26	16	-42	15.6	16.0	-0.36	15.6	17.3	-1.78

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	81	83	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.19	24	-14	38	15.8	17.7	-1.95	16.2	10.2	5.95
Milt Palacio	75	74	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.29	18	-8	26	15.6	17.8	-2.24	16.3	13.2	3.08
Deron Williams	55	55	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.22	13	-3	16	13.8	19.3	-5.48	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Greg Ostertag	40	41	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.40	5	5	0	13.7	17.8	-4.09	15.9	15.5	0.36
Matt Harpring	59	58	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	2	6	14.3	19.1	-4.87	14.8	17.2	-2.45
Kris Humphries	1	0	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	12	-14	0.0	16.1	-16.14	0.0	15.7	-15.68
Devin Brown	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	11	-12	17.3	15.8	1.49	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Jarron Collins	40	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	13	-16	18.6	13.9	4.65	15.9	15.5	0.47
Mehmet Okur	52	52	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.22	-2	12	-14	18.3	12.8	5.46	15.5	15.9	-0.47
Keith McLeod	41	41	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.05	-10	20	-30	19.2	13.3	5.96	15.9	15.5	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.46,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 78, CHI 76	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.86,1	93.1%
TOR 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,1	92.4%
WAS 88, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.27,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	92.0%