NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	6.9 [400]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +22.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	5.8 [244]		LVP	Jamario Moon (TOR): -11.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.00	8	94%	0.24	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	11	52%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Jason Kapono	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	72%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.07	0.07	-0.13	0.01	16	59%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.09	0.01	13	56%	0.01	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Jamario Moon	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	-0.01	7	94%	0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.00	16	71%	0.24	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.05	0.12	-0.00	12	39%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.02
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	37%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	26.2	14.7	24.0	1.8	35.0	126.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.7%

TOR -0.8%

POR +9.3%

POR +3.6%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	POR	NBA	TOR	POR	NBA
this game	17.1	16.8	15.4	114.3	117.4	105.7
season	15.6	16.7		108.5	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.0	15.8	18.4	17.1	17.1
POR	15.7	17.7	16.7	17.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	23	23	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-6	7	16.7	17.2	-0.46	16.1	17.1	-0.99
Darrick Martin	21	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-5	5	19.3	16.3	3.02	18.0	16.4	1.56
Jamario Moon	41	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	17.6	16.6	0.96	16.5	17.1	-0.53
Andrea Bargnani	30	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	18.3	16.4	1.86	16.8	16.8	0.02
Anthony Parker	55	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-5	5	16.1	18.9	-2.84	16.5	17.5	-1.06
Kris Humphries	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	1	-7	18.7	15.3	3.43	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Chris Bosh	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	16.2	19.3	-3.13	16.7	17.0	-0.27
Jason Kapono	35	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-3	1	16.9	17.2	-0.37	17.6	16.2	1.37
Jose Calderon	63	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	0	-5	16.3	19.3	-3.02	16.4	18.0	-1.56
Carlos Delfino	47	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	1	-7	16.9	17.2	-0.31	17.3	16.2	1.18

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	46	45	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-3	11	17.6	15.9	1.62	17.0	17.1	-0.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-5	15	16.3	18.8	-2.50	16.3	20.2	-3.89
Brandon Roy	71	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-5	15	17.0	16.0	0.99	16.6	19.2	-2.59
James Jones	43	42	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-1	7	17.4	16.2	1.21	16.5	17.7	-1.24
Jarrett Jack	39	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-3	11	17.2	16.5	0.62	19.4	15.1	4.27
Steve Blake	47	45	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	8	-11	16.5	17.2	-0.62	15.1	19.4	-4.27
Channing Frye	23	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.06	-2	7	-9	16.2	17.0	-0.81	18.5	16.6	1.94
Martell Webster	43	42	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.11	-1	6	-7	16.2	17.4	-1.21	17.7	16.5	1.24
Sergio Rodriguez	15	15	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	10	-15	16.0	17.0	-0.99	19.2	16.6	2.59
Joel Przybilla	34	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	11	-17	17.2	16.6	0.65	17.7	16.6	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 79, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.19,0.3,0.46,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	92.4%
DAL 106, PHX 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.85,1	92.3%
CHI 88, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.97,1,1	91.8%