NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	6.9 [423]		MVP	Kenny Thomas (PHI): +16.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	4.5 [471]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	12	83%	0.04
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Paul Shirley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	22	52%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03
Kirk Hinrich	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	16	32%	-0.02	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,0,0.06,0.06,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	22	34%	-0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	0.00	15	71%	0.22	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.06
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.01	0.07	-0.05	8	50%	0.12	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	7	65%	0.01	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	18	41%	-0.14	2	-0.03	13	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	482.3	2.6	31.6	14.7	26.6	2.4	32.4	592.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +18.6%

PHI +8.2%

PHI +17.3%

PHI +5.7%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.7	96.7	105.4	100.5
season	15.2	16.2		94.6	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.5	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	15.7	15.9	16.3	15.4
PHI	15.5	17.7	14.8	16.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	13	13	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.10	7	-16	23	14.2	15.6	-1.47	18.1	15.7	2.36
Ronald Dupree	15	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-17	25	14.1	15.7	-1.62	16.8	15.9	0.92
Jerome Williams	30	29	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-7	5	15.2	15.5	-0.27	15.7	16.2	-0.48
Paul Shirley	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	5.0	15.7	-10.65	14.5	16.1	-1.59
Linton Johnson	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-11	13	12.9	15.9	-2.94	16.2	16.0	0.17
Tyson Chandler	46	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-3	-3	14.9	16.0	-1.11	15.6	16.5	-0.98
Eddy Curry	68	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	15.8	14.4	1.37	16.4	15.2	1.14
Antonio Davis	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	15.8	13.6	2.25	16.3	14.7	1.58
Kirk Hinrich	74	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	2	-13	15.5	14.9	0.59	16.0	16.5	-0.54
Kendall Gill	34	35	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	5	-19	16.6	14.7	1.87	15.4	16.5	-1.10
Jamal Crawford	84	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.10	-16	7	-23	15.7	12.3	3.39	15.9	18.3	-2.42

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Green	34	33	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-5	19	16.1	16.0	0.10	15.3	15.5	-0.13
Kenny Thomas	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-8	25	15.6	17.5	-1.90	15.7	14.3	1.37
Allen Iverson	79	79	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-6	21	15.5	19.2	-3.70	15.4	15.3	0.10
Zendon Hamilton	48	45	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-1	11	15.9	16.2	-0.24	15.5	15.3	0.23
Aaron McKie	34	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	0	9	17.4	15.2	2.20	17.6	14.0	3.58
Eric Snow	74	72	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	5	-1	15.5	18.3	-2.76	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Amal McCaskill	21	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	15	-21	16.4	15.9	0.48	14.0	15.8	-1.79
Kyle Korver	7	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	14	-19	18.3	15.9	2.42	11.1	15.8	-4.71
Samuel Dalembert	44	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	12	-15	16.7	15.5	1.25	15.7	15.1	0.56
John Salmons	48	46	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.12	-10	19	-29	16.4	15.7	0.71	14.5	16.4	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,1	91.8%
MIA 96, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.62,0.93,0.9,0.99,1	91.7%
MIA 88, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.47,0.54,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	91.5%