NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	106		Excitement	7.1 [374]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +28.0%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	5.5 [257]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -14.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	5	80%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.01	11	59%	0.17	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.05
Erick Dampier	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	6	86%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rodrigue Beaubois	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	15	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	14	47%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Josh Howard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	10	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.00	-0.13	0.01	10	65%	0.00	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.16	-0.00	11	79%	0.32	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	6	81%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	14	61%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.18	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	5	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.03
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	3	37%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	13	61%	0.07	5	-0.15	10	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	32.2	19.5	29.5	2.6	42.2	152.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.2%

PHX +6.6%

PHX +14.9%

DAL -15.3%

DAL -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.2	13.7	15.3	114.0	120.4	106.0
season	15.2	14.4		107.2	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	18.7	17.7	17.9	17.2
PHX	12.7	14.0	14.4	14.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	48	45	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-11	16	16.6	17.8	-1.20	14.0	13.5	0.41
Rodrigue Beaubois	10	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-1	-4	16.5	17.3	-0.81	11.4	14.1	-2.67
Josh Howard	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	3	-12	17.9	16.7	1.27	13.8	13.7	0.19
Jose Juan Barea	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	1	-8	17.2	17.2	-0.05	13.8	13.7	0.04
Shawn Marion	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.35	3	-9	12	17.4	16.6	0.80	14.5	11.6	2.98
Drew Gooden	38	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	3	-12	18.3	16.5	1.84	13.6	13.8	-0.21
Jason Kidd	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.43	1	-7	8	17.0	18.0	-0.99	13.4	15.1	-1.73
Dirk Nowitzki	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-3	0	16.9	18.5	-1.52	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Jason Terry	71	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.44	-6	0	-6	17.1	17.8	-0.72	14.0	13.0	1.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	45	44	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.34	14	-8	22	13.4	14.1	-0.71	18.6	16.0	2.55
Lou Amundson	33	35	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.35	12	-6	18	13.7	13.8	-0.12	18.7	16.3	2.43
Channing Frye	51	50	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-7	20	13.9	13.5	0.35	18.7	15.5	3.15
Grant Hill	61	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.43	1	5	-4	13.7	13.8	-0.16	16.6	18.5	-1.88
Goran Dragic	32	30	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	-2	10	12.8	14.2	-1.42	17.2	17.2	0.01
Steve Nash	66	67	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	7	-8	13.7	13.7	0.00	17.1	17.6	-0.49
Earl Clark	22	21	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	1	4	15.3	13.3	2.06	18.1	17.0	1.12
Jason Richardson	58	57	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	12	-18	13.7	13.7	-0.00	16.1	19.0	-2.94
Robin Lopez	43	43	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	14	-22	13.9	13.6	0.35	16.2	18.1	-1.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	54	54	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	14	-22	13.8	13.7	0.04	16.4	18.4	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.66,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.72,1	92.4%
PHI 97, DET 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.84,0.96,1,1	92.3%
TOR 96, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.46,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.91,1	92.3%