NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	6.8 [262]		MVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): +15.4%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	8.9 [75]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Theo Ratliff	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	0.00	9	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	15	53%	0.11	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerald Honeycutt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,-0.19,-0.23	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	24	55%	-0.01	4	-0.22	10	80%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.07	0.00	15	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
John Coker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.16,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	15	56%	0.14	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.03
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Randell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	9	55%	0.06	2	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Terry Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	28.0	15.5	32.2	1.8	43.6	149.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +34.1%

PHI -6.1%

WAS +35.4%

PHI -13.5%

WAS +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.8	107.7	112.9	99.6
season	15.6	15.5		97.0	98.8
opponent	15.9	15.9		101.3	94.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	17.6	16.5	15.0	16.4
WAS	15.3	16.7	13.5	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	26	26	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.07	12	-19	31	15.5	16.8	-1.29	17.0	14.1	2.81
Jerald Honeycutt	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	17.3	16.3	1.05	14.0	15.0	-1.02
Tyrone Hill	58	60	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-2	-3	16.2	16.7	-0.54	14.8	15.2	-0.48
Harvey Grant	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-2	-3	18.1	14.4	3.68	15.2	14.6	0.57
Larry Hughes	19	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.18	-9	2	-11	17.2	16.2	1.04	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Allen Iverson	82	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.34	-2	-5	3	16.0	19.9	-3.89	14.5	19.1	-4.62
Theo Ratliff	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	16.1	17.2	-1.08	15.0	14.9	0.11
Aaron McKie	26	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	-5	3	14.5	17.1	-2.64	15.2	14.8	0.45
Matt Geiger	51	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	-2	-3	16.7	15.9	0.82	15.4	14.4	0.92
Eric Snow	71	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	5	-17	16.5	15.9	0.62	14.5	16.6	-2.12

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randell Jackson	33	32	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.32	13	-6	19	13.7	15.6	-1.97	15.8	16.7	-0.93
Rod Strickland	71	70	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-4	15	15.0	14.8	0.21	16.1	17.3	-1.23
Ben Wallace	52	48	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-1	9	14.9	15.0	-0.12	17.1	15.6	1.52
Otis Thorpe	81	81	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-5	17	15.0	14.2	0.79	16.4	16.5	-0.13
Mitch Richmond	80	78	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	-6	19	14.5	17.6	-3.12	16.4	16.1	0.36
Terry Davis	37	37	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	-3	13	15.2	14.7	0.47	16.7	16.2	0.54
Tim Legler	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	13	-19	17.6	14.5	3.12	16.1	16.4	-0.36
Jeff McInnis	7	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	15.7	14.9	0.84	16.0	16.4	-0.41
Chris Whitney	18	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.09	-1	8	-9	12.7	15.5	-2.74	16.6	16.3	0.25
Juwan Howard	61	59	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	12	-17	15.3	14.3	0.95	16.9	15.5	1.41
Calbert Cheaney	6	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.04	-8	15	-23	18.5	14.7	3.81	14.3	16.6	-2.27
John Coker	6	7	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.08	-10	17	-27	17.5	14.8	2.74	13.3	16.6	-3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.22,0.33,0.17,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.46,0.54,0.64,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, DEN 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.16,0.28,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.99,1,1	93.2%
HOU 106, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.35,0.31,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.98,1	93.1%
NYK 79, LAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	92.6%