NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	7.2 [376]		MVP	Slava Medvedenko (LAL): +9.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	88		Comeback	17.4 [122]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -30.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	7	73%	0.09	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	28	48%	0.13	4	-0.20	8	87%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	43%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	13	31%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.1,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	12	43%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31	-0.12	-0.20	-0.01	8	25%	-0.24	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.05	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	0.01	0.00	19	32%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.8	31.7	18.0	22.1	2.7	35.2	138.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.8%

PHI -9.4%

PHI -9.2%

LAL +22.3%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAL	NBA	PHI	LAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.3	15.6	85.4	93.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		99.3	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.0	14.1	17.3	16.9	16.0
LAL	16.0	14.1	13.5	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	27	25	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.16	2	-8	10	14.1	16.8	-2.69	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Corie Blount	42	41	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.12	0	-6	6	15.3	16.6	-1.29	15.1	13.7	1.39
Michael Ruffin	3	3	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-4	2	13.3	16.1	-2.76	12.7	14.3	-1.67
Derrick Coleman	61	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	3	-12	16.9	14.5	2.40	14.7	13.7	1.00
Matt Harpring	64	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-3	0	16.1	15.8	0.25	14.6	13.5	1.11
Allen Iverson	89	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-4	2	16.1	14.4	1.71	14.1	16.5	-2.42
Aaron McKie	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-5	4	14.8	18.2	-3.45	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Dikembe Mutombo	55	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.49	-1	-5	4	17.4	14.2	3.21	15.0	13.3	1.63
Eric Snow	78	76	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.41	-14	8	-22	16.3	14.8	1.52	13.7	16.6	-2.87

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	36	38	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-5	16	14.1	14.4	-0.33	15.6	16.3	-0.76
Devean George	47	48	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-6	18	13.6	14.9	-1.30	15.4	16.6	-1.19
Kobe Bryant	82	86	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.33	11	-5	16	13.7	18.0	-4.26	16.2	14.0	2.24
Robert Horry	43	46	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.45	5	1	4	14.4	14.2	0.24	15.3	16.7	-1.44
Samaki Walker	70	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	1	4	14.4	13.8	0.61	16.8	13.8	3.07
Slava Medvedenko	42	42	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.10	4	2	2	14.5	14.1	0.38	17.4	14.9	2.48
Mark Madsen	19	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	8	-10	16.8	13.6	3.20	16.0	16.0	-0.07
Derek Fisher	51	51	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	-0.06	-1	7	-8	14.3	14.3	0.02	16.3	15.7	0.61
Brian Shaw	37	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.12	0	6	-6	14.7	14.0	0.73	15.1	16.6	-1.48
Rick Fox	43	42	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.03	-15	21	-36	14.1	14.5	-0.36	15.1	16.7	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.31,0.2,0.47,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 78, CHI 76	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.16,0.28,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.26,0.35,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.86,1	92.6%
NOH 117, ORL 123	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.25,0.33,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.22,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.84,0.98,1	91.7%
WAS 96, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.33,0.61,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	91.0%