inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 100 Excitement7.4 [262] MVPDonovan Mitchell (CLE): +13.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers 108 Comeback7.9 [277] LVPJaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): -18.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Santi Aldama0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.00960%0.0600.0020%-0.03
Cedric Coward0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04-0.000.040.01856%0.092-0.052100%0.01
Zach Edey0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.020.030.000.01757%0.051-0.02978%-0.00
Ja Morant0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02287%0.041-0.02475%-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00460%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Jaylen Wells-0.030,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00847%0.012-0.031100%0.01
Cam Spencer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00430%-0.0300.00250%-0.02
John Konchar-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Vince Williams Jr.-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.01-0.02940%0.054-0.1120%-0.04
Jock Landale-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.00828%-0.052-0.08250%-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.-0.180,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.02-0.120.042343%-0.112-0.081486%0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.03,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.130.130.070.100.042159%0.244-0.11967%-0.02
Evan Mobley0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.11-0.010.09-0.021655%0.184-0.08862%-0.04
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.01856%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jarrett Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.00867%0.112-0.06875%0.01
Sam Merrill0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.020.02965%0.082-0.05250%-0.01
Dean Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00450%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Tyrese Proctor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.01590%0.125-0.1500%0.00
Nae'Qwan Tomlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.00425%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Craig Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00430%-0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.70.031.50.140.80.135.2139.4
league avg26.32.028.914.329.62.232.8136.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +73.9%
MEM -15.1%
CLE +3.6%
MEM -9.0%
MEM -3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMCLENBAMEMCLENBA
this game14.512.714.294.3101.9113.5
season13.813.5112.3116.0
opponent14.514.3111.3114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM12.615.215.514.914.5
CLE11.213.113.313.312.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Konchar83840.27-0.771.050.077-152214.115.6-1.4812.911.81.13
Ja Morant15140.07-0.570.64-0.054-121612.314.8-2.4712.112.8-0.69
Cam Spencer8081-0.25-0.250.01-0.13-4-4014.713.80.9112.413.6-1.27
Jaylen Wells7374-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.15-4-4014.813.71.1012.612.8-0.16
Vince Williams Jr.101100-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.35-4-4014.710.44.2512.711.51.24
Jaren Jackson Jr.106106-0.500.00-0.50-0.27-80-814.50.014.4512.70.012.67
Zach Edey106106-0.520.02-0.54-0.29-80-814.50.014.4512.70.012.67
Santi Aldama9091-0.530.03-0.57-0.30-80-814.613.80.7512.115.9-3.72
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope9898-0.540.04-0.57-0.39-5-3-214.612.22.3812.613.9-1.30
Cedric Coward9293-0.540.04-0.57-0.30-80-814.414.7-0.3012.712.50.15
Jock Landale7779-0.570.07-0.63-0.36-7-1-615.013.11.9112.114.3-2.13

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dean Wade96950.59-0.090.680.3871612.316.4-4.1214.613.11.52
Sam Merrill90910.55-0.050.600.3280813.110.42.6314.712.91.77
De'Andre Hunter89900.54-0.040.580.3953212.613.2-0.6715.011.63.40
Evan Mobley83850.52-0.020.540.4335-212.613.0-0.4214.912.72.23
Donovan Mitchell1061060.52-0.020.540.2980812.70.012.6714.50.014.45
Jarrett Allen1041030.480.020.460.3062412.520.5-7.9814.415.3-0.91
Nae'Qwan Tomlin51510.260.240.010.0862412.912.40.5215.313.71.55
Lonzo Ball86840.040.46-0.43-0.0226-412.214.6-2.3814.315.2-0.92
Tyrese Proctor2929-0.080.58-0.66-0.0808-814.012.21.8814.714.40.33
Larry Nance Jr.1010-0.150.65-0.810.05-715-2214.812.42.3513.714.5-0.83
Craig Porter Jr.7977-0.220.72-0.94-0.02-715-2212.313.9-1.6414.314.9-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.6,0.72,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 105, MIN 1130.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.67,0.86,0.99,1,1,193.4%
BOS 109, MEM 1170.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,192.4%
BOS 89, GSW 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,192.1%