NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	6.7 [506]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +18.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	117		Comeback	14.7 [144]		LVP	Mark Blount (BOS): -13.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	15	76%	0.19	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	-0.02	-0.00	9	100%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.01
Jiri Welsch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	14	49%	0.03	5	-0.13	9	67%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	5	33%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	7	50%	-0.11	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.10	-0.02	7	75%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.01	13	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	3	110%	0.20	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	6	56%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.06	0.01	9	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	56%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	35%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	62%	0.05	4	-0.13	13	92%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.7	31.1	16.7	27.8	1.6	32.4	140.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +38.7%

MEM +8.0%

BOS -0.7%

MEM +8.0%

BOS -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.5	116.0	123.2	104.0
season	14.4	16.4		104.7	103.7
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.1	14.7	13.2	19.3	14.9
MEM	14.6	16.0	16.8	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	45	45	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.12	4	-12	16	13.3	16.4	-3.12	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Marcus Banks	36	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.06	2	-10	12	13.6	15.7	-2.17	14.1	16.5	-2.41
Walter McCarty	35	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.02	3	-11	14	13.1	16.0	-2.88	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Justin Reed	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-8	8	0.0	14.9	-14.89	5.0	15.7	-10.69
Kendrick Perkins	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-7	6	20.0	14.8	5.16	0.0	15.7	-15.74
Jiri Welsch	58	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	0	-8	14.1	16.2	-2.06	16.0	14.8	1.23
Paul Pierce	78	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-7	6	15.6	11.7	3.86	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Ricky Davis	53	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	15.1	14.6	0.46	15.4	15.8	-0.31
Mark Blount	34	34	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	1	-10	15.7	14.4	1.27	16.8	14.9	1.94
Gary Payton	62	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.33	-10	2	-12	15.6	13.5	2.16	16.3	14.3	2.05
Raef LaFrentz	68	69	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.33	-14	6	-20	16.2	11.4	4.80	16.0	14.5	1.49

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	41	41	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.37	13	-5	18	14.4	16.4	-2.01	15.6	14.4	1.23
Mike Miller	47	48	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-4	16	15.8	15.4	0.41	16.1	13.6	2.56
Earl Watson	42	41	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-2	12	14.1	16.8	-2.70	15.8	14.2	1.57
James Posey	70	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-5	18	16.2	13.7	2.52	15.1	14.2	0.92
Pau Gasol	65	64	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	2	4	15.5	15.8	-0.37	15.0	14.7	0.28
Dahntay Jones	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	7	-6	10.8	15.9	-5.07	13.0	15.0	-2.00
Ryan Humphrey	27	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.15	3	5	-2	14.7	15.9	-1.17	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Jason Williams	54	54	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	10	-12	16.5	14.4	2.05	14.4	15.5	-1.06
Lorenzen Wright	42	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.09	-2	10	-12	17.3	14.2	3.06	14.4	15.3	-0.96
Bonzi Wells	39	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	12	-16	15.7	15.5	0.24	13.4	15.9	-2.54
Shane Battier	42	39	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	18	-28	15.3	15.8	-0.53	14.5	15.2	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,1	93.5%
SAC 98, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.85,1	91.5%
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	91.5%