NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	6.1 [620]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +24.2%
Golden State Warriors	99		Comeback	8.7 [22]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -15.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.02	11	72%	0.14	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.03
Glen Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Eddie House	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.03	10	48%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	58%	0.09	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	14	42%	-0.03	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	11	46%	0.03	7	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.18	0.01	17	68%	0.38	6	-0.14	7	100%	0.03
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	17	58%	0.18	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	0.05	4	78%	0.10	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.04
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Brandan Wright	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.5	30.3	15.5	28.6	2.5	38.4	142.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +37.3%

GSW +4.9%

GSW +2.5%

GSW +6.6%

BOS -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.5	95.7	107.6	106.4
season	15.8	13.8		108.3	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.6		111.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	17.6	14.8	15.1	15.2
GSW	16.8	17.6	15.9	13.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	46	46	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-13	16	17.2	13.3	3.86	16.2	15.6	0.52
Glen Davis	38	37	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.14	-1	-9	8	14.3	15.9	-1.53	16.8	15.3	1.58
Patrick O'Bryant	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	15.0	15.2	-0.25	0.0	15.9	-15.89
Gabe Pruitt	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	15.0	15.2	-0.25	0.0	15.9	-15.89
Brian Scalabrine	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-4	-2	15.0	15.3	-0.27	13.1	16.2	-3.08
Tony Allen	51	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-4	-2	15.0	15.5	-0.55	14.4	17.7	-3.31
Kevin Garnett	74	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-9	8	14.7	17.3	-2.53	16.1	14.9	1.18
Ray Allen	51	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-6	2	16.3	14.0	2.32	17.4	13.9	3.43
Paul Pierce	83	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	0	-10	14.8	19.3	-4.54	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Rajon Rondo	68	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-4	-2	14.9	16.1	-1.14	16.3	15.0	1.30
Eddie House	43	44	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.22	-19	9	-28	15.4	15.1	0.28	14.5	17.2	-2.75

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelenna Azubuike	61	61	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.14	19	-9	28	15.4	16.8	-1.33	15.3	15.2	0.04
Marco Belinelli	84	85	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.22	12	-2	14	16.1	13.6	2.48	14.8	19.5	-4.65
Stephen Jackson	90	90	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	0	10	15.9	15.5	0.40	15.0	23.3	-8.36
Ronny Turiaf	58	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.18	10	0	10	15.1	17.2	-2.13	14.7	16.1	-1.39
CJ Watson	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	10	-10	15.6	16.3	-0.63	15.1	15.4	-0.32
Anthony Morrow	19	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	3	4	13.3	16.6	-3.25	17.1	14.7	2.39
Andris Biedrins	47	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	11	-12	17.0	14.7	2.35	16.8	13.5	3.32
Anthony Randolph	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	15	-20	13.6	16.2	-2.56	13.1	15.5	-2.45
Brandan Wright	37	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	12	-14	18.3	14.3	3.98	15.3	15.2	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 109, MEM 117	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.25,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.24,0.37,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.5%
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	93.5%
BOS 106, NOH 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.95,0.96,1	92.8%