NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	6.6 [461]		MVP	David West (NOH): +35.9%
New Orleans Hornets	113		Comeback	7.7 [202]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (NOH): -11.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	15	68%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	13	68%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06	0.12	-0.00	0.06	15	72%	0.23	4	-0.17	9	78%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	0.03	-0.11	-0.00	12	61%	0.07	2	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
James Posey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.19	0.19	0.02	25	65%	0.36	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.05
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.07,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.02	10	73%	0.22	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.01	10	75%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	0.02	8	52%	-0.05	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	29.2	15.7	31.3	1.7	34.6	140.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +26.2%

BOS -1.6%

BOS -19.6%

NOH +43.9%

NOH +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOH	NBA	BOS	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.4	115.2	121.5	105.7
season	15.6	15.9		108.0	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.9		104.0	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	14.3	18.5	13.8	15.2
NOH	17.1	13.9	17.5	15.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	60	60	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.14	14	-21	35	14.9	15.8	-0.93	17.1	13.7	3.41
Eddie House	18	19	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-10	13	12.9	15.8	-2.88	10.8	17.2	-6.39
Rajon Rondo	67	68	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.49	13	-20	33	14.2	17.9	-3.67	16.9	13.4	3.51
Leon Powe	21	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	18.5	14.2	4.24	14.9	16.3	-1.40
Ray Allen	77	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	14.2	20.2	-5.97	16.3	14.3	2.00
Sam Cassell	19	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	7	-21	18.1	14.5	3.59	14.6	16.3	-1.63
Kevin Garnett	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-5	3	14.4	17.7	-3.25	16.4	14.5	1.98
P.J. Brown	24	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	8	-23	17.6	14.4	3.27	14.9	16.3	-1.34
Paul Pierce	69	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	15.1	15.4	-0.30	16.6	13.8	2.76
James Posey	35	37	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.11	-23	16	-39	17.5	13.8	3.77	13.8	17.3	-3.47

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	49	48	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.24	23	-16	39	15.2	16.7	-1.48	16.3	14.0	2.31
Tyson Chandler	83	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	16.6	10.5	6.08	14.8	18.8	-4.03
David West	85	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	6	-5	15.9	15.9	0.05	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Jannero Pargo	43	41	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	2	3	13.3	18.2	-4.92	15.4	15.1	0.29
Chris Paul	55	56	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	6	-5	17.3	13.9	3.34	14.9	15.7	-0.89
Julian Wright	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	-3	13	14.4	16.9	-2.49	15.5	15.0	0.54
Peja Stojakovic	72	71	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.37	-6	13	-19	16.1	15.2	0.95	14.9	16.3	-1.46
Melvin Ely	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	3	1	14.5	16.2	-1.70	17.3	14.9	2.45
Morris Peterson	30	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.05	-11	18	-29	18.5	14.7	3.75	14.8	15.4	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.8%
BOS 89, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	92.6%