NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	7.9 [272]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +75.8%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	6.2 [454]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): -8.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.00	7	56%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.1	0.00	0.10	0.00	16	44%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jermaine Taylor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	16	47%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	52%	0.05	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.07
Pooh Jeter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	19	45%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.76	0.76	0.19	0.56	-0.01	27	63%	0.76	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Josh Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.10	0.00	13	63%	0.24	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	16	64%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	13	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	1.7	27.2	15.6	26.3	2.5	34.8	139.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +21.9%

ATL +37.1%

SAC -14.9%

SAC -2.4%

ATL +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.5	107.7	108.7	105.7
season	14.9	16.5		102.1	104.0
opponent	15.5	14.9		105.1	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	14.3	18.3	16.6	15.6
ATL	13.8	15.7	16.0	18.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	75	78	0.31	-0.81	1.13	-0.07	13	-15	28	15.1	17.9	-2.82	16.1	14.4	1.69
Omri Casspi	18	20	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.13	3	-5	8	15.7	15.6	0.13	13.4	16.5	-3.14
DeMarcus Cousins	53	56	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.24	-1	-1	0	16.0	15.1	0.97	17.1	14.0	3.05
Jermaine Taylor	5	6	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-9	16	11.4	15.9	-4.46	10.8	16.2	-5.38
Pooh Jeter	20	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	5	-12	18.6	14.8	3.83	17.2	15.5	1.78
Jason Thompson	53	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.53	-2	0	-2	16.0	15.1	0.88	16.2	15.4	0.78
Samuel Dalembert	45	42	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.50	-4	2	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.38	14.6	16.9	-2.32
Carl Landry	47	44	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.54	-4	2	-6	15.3	15.9	-0.61	16.4	15.4	0.97
Tyreke Evans	72	73	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.46	-8	6	-14	15.4	16.5	-1.08	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Donte Greene	67	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.53	-7	5	-12	15.5	15.8	-0.30	15.6	16.7	-1.09

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	75	74	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.42	16	-14	30	16.1	14.7	1.41	16.2	13.2	3.00
Mike Bibby	79	78	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.45	11	-9	20	16.6	11.6	4.94	16.1	12.8	3.23
Joe Johnson	79	77	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-9	20	16.1	14.7	1.36	15.7	15.1	0.64
Jamal Crawford	64	63	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.57	5	-3	8	15.6	16.4	-0.82	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Al Horford	88	86	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-7	16	15.9	14.0	1.94	15.9	11.4	4.46
Jason Collins	27	28	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	3	-4	16.6	15.5	1.09	16.4	15.3	1.12
Etan Thomas	4	5	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	9	-16	14.0	15.9	-1.94	11.4	15.9	-4.46
Zaza Pachulia	4	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	7	-12	21.0	15.6	5.37	16.2	15.6	0.59
Josh Powell	12	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	9	-16	13.8	16.2	-2.33	11.5	16.2	-4.63
Maurice Evans	19	19	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.12	-8	10	-18	12.9	16.6	-3.74	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Damien Wilkins	9	8	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.01	-14	16	-30	12.0	16.3	-4.28	10.5	16.1	-5.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 78, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.98,1,1	92.4%
MIN 91, NOP 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.28,0.15,0.29,0.32,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.9,0.87,0.95,1	92.3%
MIL 88, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.16,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	92.1%