NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	88		Excitement	8.1 [224]		MVP	Charlie Bell (MIL): +14.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	6.0 [268]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -37.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.00	8	67%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	10	48%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	11	56%	0.06	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Dan Gadzuric	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	4	60%	-0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.00	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Michael Redd	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.32	-0.15	-0.18	-0.01	13	21%	-0.29	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.01	7	57%	0.21	1	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	17	58%	0.21	3	-0.09	9	56%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.07
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	0.02	14	61%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.37,-0.37,-0.38	-0.38	-0.21	-0.18	-0.02	14	14%	-0.21	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	28.3	15.7	26.9	1.8	36.7	136.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.5%

MIL -15.7%

PHI +18.8%

MIL -6.2%

MIL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.5	15.7	15.5	94.6	101.1	106.4
season	15.0	15.5		104.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		105.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.8	16.2	17.2	15.0	15.5
PHI	15.6	15.8	17.0	14.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	18	19	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-9	13	14.0	15.8	-1.83	15.1	15.8	-0.77
Luc Mbah a Moute	59	58	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-9	13	15.6	15.2	0.37	17.1	13.2	3.90
Ramon Sessions	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	0	-5	16.2	15.1	1.12	14.8	16.0	-1.22
Luke Ridnour	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-5	5	15.1	16.2	-1.12	16.0	14.8	1.22
Andrew Bogut	67	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-4	3	15.9	14.5	1.40	15.8	15.2	0.66
Charlie Villanueva	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	6	-17	16.3	14.8	1.52	14.4	16.7	-2.29
Michael Redd	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-6	7	14.4	18.7	-4.30	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Charlie Bell	46	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	3	-11	16.3	14.7	1.64	14.4	16.9	-2.56
Richard Jefferson	69	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.39	-9	4	-13	15.4	15.7	-0.26	16.2	14.2	2.06

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	38	38	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-7	19	14.8	16.3	-1.53	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Andre Iguodala	66	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.44	7	-2	9	16.0	14.8	1.14	14.9	17.0	-2.14
Lou Williams	62	62	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-2	9	14.7	17.6	-2.82	15.6	15.3	0.27
Thaddeus Young	58	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-4	13	15.0	16.9	-1.89	16.1	14.5	1.54
Reggie Evans	28	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.09	8	-3	11	15.0	16.0	-1.00	17.0	14.8	2.22
Andre Miller	81	82	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.40	-5	10	-15	15.5	17.2	-1.73	15.1	18.3	-3.18
Willie Green	51	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.10	2	3	-1	16.8	14.2	2.60	16.0	14.8	1.28
Samuel Dalembert	35	35	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	10	-15	17.7	14.4	3.22	14.9	15.8	-0.99
Elton Brand	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.01	-10	15	-25	16.1	15.3	0.78	15.0	15.8	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.16,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.53,0.73,0.75,0.63,0.67,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 98, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.85,1	92.1%
IND 105, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	91.9%
VAN 102, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.68,0.92,1	91.8%