NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	105		Excitement	6.7 [521]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (MIN): +21.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	3.9 [652]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -8.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	12	73%	0.22	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	14	49%	0.01	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.07
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.03	14	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.05
Chris Webber	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	27	44%	0.02	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.13	0.00	4	100%	0.22	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.11	-0.03	22	61%	0.27	3	-0.09	13	100%	0.09
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	13	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	2	83%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	16	44%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	32.2	16.0	24.4	1.7	31.3	132.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.4%

MIN +6.0%

MIN +13.5%

MIN +0.9%

SAC -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	15.5	107.1	114.1	104.0
season	14.7	15.8		108.1	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.6		104.6	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.5	14.8	14.0	13.5	14.0
MIN	17.2	14.0	14.8	15.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	18	17	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-11	14	13.5	14.1	-0.58	14.9	15.3	-0.46
Matt Barnes	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.11	-5	-3	-2	15.4	13.8	1.65	12.1	15.7	-3.62
Mike Bibby	81	84	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-9	10	13.5	16.3	-2.81	15.5	13.7	1.88
Darius Songaila	25	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	17.2	12.8	4.39	16.0	15.0	1.00
Chris Webber	78	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-9	10	13.6	15.5	-1.99	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Peja Stojakovic	88	88	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.28	-1	-7	6	13.8	15.2	-1.37	15.5	13.7	1.73
Doug Christie	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-4	0	14.1	13.8	0.34	15.3	15.3	0.01
Brad Miller	68	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	0	-8	13.3	15.5	-2.21	15.9	13.9	2.03
Bobby Jackson	59	61	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.20	-23	15	-38	14.5	13.2	1.31	14.4	16.7	-2.35

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	51	51	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-10	28	14.9	15.7	-0.78	14.6	13.3	1.37
Eddie Griffin	55	53	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.22	16	-8	24	14.8	15.8	-1.04	14.7	13.1	1.67
Trenton Hassell	40	41	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-3	14	15.3	15.2	0.10	14.7	13.5	1.23
Troy Hudson	34	34	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	14.1	15.9	-1.83	15.5	13.1	2.39
Kevin Garnett	91	90	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	3	2	15.2	16.1	-0.94	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Michael Olowokandi	29	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	4	0	15.0	15.4	-0.37	14.2	13.9	0.29
Sam Cassell	65	64	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	15.9	14.1	1.83	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Wally Szczerbiak	60	58	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.09	-3	11	-14	15.1	15.5	-0.41	13.4	14.8	-1.49
Mark Madsen	22	24	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	17	-26	17.4	14.6	2.76	12.6	14.4	-1.78
Latrell Sprewell	48	47	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.05	-10	18	-28	15.7	14.9	0.78	13.3	14.6	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.67,0.86,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	92.6%
TOR 96, NYK 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.25,0.36,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.37,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.41,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.84,1	92.3%
MIN 88, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.41,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.2,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.94,0.98,1,1	92.1%