NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	96		Excitement	7.5 [317]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +27.4%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	6.4 [241]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -24.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.13	0.10	0.02	-0.01	14	71%	0.14	1	-0.01	13	85%	0.04
Donald Whiteside	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brad Lohaus	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	13	46%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	7	62%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Rogers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.24	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24	-0.05	-0.18	0.02	25	49%	-0.11	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.16	-0.01	16	69%	0.31	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.06
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	65%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	37%	-0.10
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	16	60%	0.16	6	-0.28	10	70%	0.06
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	8	58%	0.03	6	-0.15	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	2.5	26.4	16.4	27.5	2.3	40.5	144.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.5%

NYK +2.2%

NYK +23.1%

TOR -19.8%

NYK +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	12.7	15.6	100.0	102.1	104.4
season	16.1	15.1		102.2	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.0		98.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	20.0	15.4	18.7	17.1
NYK	12.3	13.3	14.6	10.9	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	61	61	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.35	17	-20	37	16.4	18.4	-1.93	12.6	13.0	-0.44
Hubert Davis	19	20	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.08	0	-3	3	17.8	17.0	0.80	13.0	12.6	0.41
Brad Lohaus	2	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	19.0	17.1	1.89	10.0	12.7	-2.75
Acie Earl	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	3	-9	18.2	17.0	1.17	12.8	12.7	0.14
Donald Whiteside	12	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	8	-19	18.7	16.9	1.74	12.0	12.8	-0.81
Damon Stoudamire	84	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.49	8	-11	19	16.9	18.7	-1.74	12.8	12.0	0.81
Walt Williams	87	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.48	6	-9	15	17.0	18.8	-1.80	12.8	12.3	0.43
Carlos Rogers	46	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	16	-35	19.1	15.4	3.69	13.5	12.0	1.45
Marcus Camby	75	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.55	-2	-1	-1	16.4	19.7	-3.29	12.4	14.0	-1.61
Doug Christie	81	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.44	-6	3	-9	17.1	17.5	-0.46	12.6	13.2	-0.63

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	69	68	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.34	19	-16	35	12.7	12.9	-0.24	18.2	14.6	3.63
Buck Williams	29	30	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	-3	9	13.2	12.5	0.64	19.9	15.9	4.05
Charlie Ward	79	79	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	1	1	12.6	13.2	-0.55	17.2	17.1	0.03
Patrick Ewing	80	80	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	1	1	12.7	12.8	-0.05	16.8	19.0	-2.22
John Wallace	41	38	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	0	3	11.9	13.3	-1.42	16.2	17.8	-1.59
Scott Brooks	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	2	-1	13.2	12.6	0.55	17.1	17.2	-0.03
Charles Oakley	68	66	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.08	-5	8	-13	12.9	12.2	0.69	15.7	20.4	-4.68
Allan Houston	52	54	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.13	-9	12	-21	12.3	13.2	-0.81	16.9	17.5	-0.59
Larry Johnson	49	48	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.08	-4	7	-11	13.4	12.1	1.30	17.6	16.7	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.36,0.25,0.36,0.5,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.34,0.37,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.41,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 105, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.67,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	92.3%
NJN 77, SAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.27,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.36,0.65,0.83,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	92.0%
GSW 78, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.88,0.98,1,1	91.7%