NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Excitement	7.6 [126]		MVP	Aaron Wiggins (OKC): +28.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	121		Comeback	9.8 [29]		LVP	Isaiah Joe (OKC): -7.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins	0.29	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.20	0.09	0.00	19	71%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	26	54%	0.12	0	0.00	13	92%	0.07
Ajay Mitchell	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	11	72%	0.30	5	-0.18	7	100%	0.05
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	4	77%	0.16	4	-0.11	5	80%	-0.00
Brooks Barnhizer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaylin Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Branden Carlson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.06	-0.03	4	62%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	12	50%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.16	-0.01	9	80%	0.29	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.14	-0.02	16	65%	0.34	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.04
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.05	0.02	5	120%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.03	-0.04	14	59%	0.19	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.06
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.03	15	53%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.06	0.02	17	52%	0.16	3	-0.10	16	94%	0.07
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.6	1.3	36.0	13.3	27.1	0.0	40.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +45.8%

POR +10.4%

OKC -0.7%

OKC -3.7%

OKC -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	12.9	13.1	14.1	110.2	107.1	113.7
season	13.7	13.5		119.3	112.1
opponent	13.9	14.5		116.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	10.1	12.5	14.9	14.3	12.9
POR	14.6	12.7	12.3	12.9	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Branden Carlson	60	64	0.40	-0.90	1.31	-0.04	15	-17	32	12.7	13.1	-0.31	13.5	12.7	0.85
Aaron Wiggins	78	84	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-6	10	12.5	13.9	-1.45	13.1	13.1	-0.01
Brooks Barnhizer	10	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	4	-10	13.0	12.9	0.12	14.7	13.0	1.72
Cason Wallace	90	94	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-2	2	13.2	11.2	2.00	12.7	15.3	-2.62
Ajay Mitchell	105	109	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-3	4	13.1	5.0	8.11	13.2	10.7	2.47
Isaiah Hartenstein	95	98	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	2	-6	13.5	8.7	4.77	12.6	16.4	-3.77
Jaylin Williams	108	113	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	12.9	0.0	12.89	13.1	0.0	13.13
Ousmane Dieng	107	111	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	3	-8	13.0	6.0	6.95	13.4	0.0	13.37
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	106	111	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	3	-8	13.1	3.5	9.57	13.4	0.0	13.37
Isaiah Joe	107	112	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	2	-6	13.0	1.0	12.00	13.2	0.0	13.25

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	113	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	13.1	0.0	13.13	12.9	0.0	12.89
Jrue Holiday	103	98	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	12.8	17.0	-4.24	13.4	8.3	5.06
Donovan Clingan	93	90	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.49	-3	5	-8	13.3	12.1	1.19	13.1	11.7	1.40
Toumani Camara	102	98	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	5	-8	13.3	11.6	1.66	12.9	13.2	-0.34
Shaedon Sharpe	94	92	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.57	-6	8	-14	13.6	10.8	2.75	12.9	12.6	0.31
Robert Williams III	50	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.75	-13	15	-28	13.2	13.1	0.16	12.7	13.1	-0.43
Deni Avdija	111	107	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.34	1	1	0	13.4	0.5	12.86	13.0	6.0	6.95
Duop Reath	65	61	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	-17	36	12.3	14.3	-1.98	14.2	11.2	2.97
Kris Murray	78	75	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	10	-18	12.7	14.1	-1.38	13.9	10.6	3.24
Sidy Cissoko	61	59	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.05	-16	18	-34	13.6	12.6	1.07	12.6	13.3	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.29,0.36,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.3,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.9,0.99,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 76, OKC 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	91.4%
SAC 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,1	90.3%
CHI 91, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.53,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.97,1	90.1%