NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	7.1 [148]		MVP	Rui Hachimura (LAL): +23.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	115		Comeback	3.6 [28]		LVP	Marcus Smart (LAL): -6.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.05	0.00	15	78%	0.29	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Nick Smith Jr.	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.08	0.03	15	83%	0.29	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.03	0.05	19	72%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Bronny James	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.06	-0.03	4	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jake LaRavia	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	10	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Dalton Knecht	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	11	37%	0.01	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.08	0.02	20	65%	0.29	5	-0.13	11	91%	0.05
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	17	55%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Sidy Cissoko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.00	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.04	0.04	10	67%	0.09	4	-0.14	7	57%	-0.02
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	13	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	0.2	32.1	0.0	29.5	0.0	32.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.9%

POR -0.8%

POR -11.0%

LAL +16.6%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	12.8	14.1	121.8	111.7	113.7
season	14.5	13.5		117.0	112.1
opponent	13.9	14.0		116.1	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.3	16.5	14.5	16.8	15.4
POR	11.3	14.2	11.7	14.5	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake LaRavia	94	95	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-5	18	15.6	13.1	2.46	13.1	9.6	3.43
Deandre Ayton	77	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-5	18	15.4	15.7	-0.36	13.5	10.5	2.93
Nick Smith Jr.	94	95	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	3	2	15.6	13.3	2.31	12.6	14.7	-2.13
Rui Hachimura	92	93	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	15.3	17.2	-1.96	13.1	10.2	2.86
Marcus Smart	92	93	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	15.3	17.2	-1.96	13.1	10.2	2.86
Jarred Vanderbilt	80	82	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	4	0	15.3	16.0	-0.71	12.9	12.3	0.57
Bronny James	77	78	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.21	-2	10	-12	15.8	14.4	1.39	12.9	12.5	0.35
Jaxson Hayes	61	62	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	14.9	16.2	-1.35	12.4	13.4	-1.00
Dalton Knecht	66	68	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.00	-7	15	-22	15.2	15.8	-0.60	13.0	12.3	0.76

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caleb Love	47	47	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-12	16	12.2	13.3	-1.13	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Donovan Clingan	72	70	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-10	12	13.3	11.5	1.77	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Robert Williams III	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	12.9	12.7	0.18	14.8	16.3	-1.54
Shaedon Sharpe	87	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-10	12	12.3	15.4	-3.06	15.6	14.6	0.98
Kris Murray	79	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-1	-6	13.0	12.1	0.92	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Sidy Cissoko	74	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	0	-8	13.4	11.2	2.20	14.9	17.0	-2.08
Toumani Camara	103	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	12.8	0.0	12.79	15.4	0.0	15.44
Deni Avdija	103	101	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	0	-8	12.8	0.0	12.79	15.4	0.0	15.44
Jerami Grant	98	96	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	2	-12	12.9	11.0	1.88	15.6	11.6	4.04
Jrue Holiday	86	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.22	-12	4	-16	13.4	9.6	3.83	15.4	15.4	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.17,0.29,0.14,0.14,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.0%
GSW 92, SAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	92.5%
SAS 99, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0	92.4%