NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	92		Excitement	6.5 [529]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +22.9%
San Antonio Spurs	86		Comeback	2.8 [211]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -14.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.19	0.09	0.05	22	73%	0.33	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.03
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	-0.05	0.10	-0.02	10	37%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Draymond Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	85%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Bogut	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	18	63%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	44%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	5	75%	0.13	3	-0.12	2	100%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	0.06	22	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.7	29.0	15.4	23.8	2.0	32.4	130.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +58.1%

GSW +7.4%

SAS -13.1%

SAS -0.7%

SAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	17.3	14.9	100.0	95.6	105.1
season	13.7	15.7		112.3	109.0
opponent	14.7	15.1		97.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.6	12.8	13.9	15.3	14.4
SAS	18.0	20.0	16.1	15.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	64	63	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.15	16	-10	26	14.4	14.5	-0.07	17.2	17.4	-0.20
Draymond Green	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	15.1	13.0	2.08	18.0	15.8	2.20
Klay Thompson	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.28	4	2	2	15.0	12.8	2.24	17.2	17.4	-0.20
Stephen Curry	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-1	8	14.5	14.1	0.41	17.9	15.5	2.41
Marreese Speights	16	15	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	1	4	15.2	14.2	0.94	17.4	17.2	0.16
Shaun Livingston	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	9	-12	13.5	15.2	-1.71	16.4	18.1	-1.71
Andrew Bogut	44	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	2	2	14.2	14.6	-0.40	17.2	17.3	-0.10
Andre Iguodala	56	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	8	-10	14.5	14.3	0.18	16.7	18.1	-1.47
Ian Clark	11	9	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	3	0	12.4	14.7	-2.33	15.8	17.4	-1.65
Brandon Rush	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	8	-10	11.9	15.1	-3.11	19.2	16.8	2.40
Festus Ezeli	13	14	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	16	-26	15.2	14.3	0.95	15.1	17.7	-2.60

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	39	42	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-12	18	16.5	17.9	-1.38	14.0	14.7	-0.72
David West	53	52	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-12	18	17.6	16.7	0.91	15.3	13.2	2.15
Manu Ginobili	38	40	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-10	14	17.6	17.1	0.49	14.3	14.5	-0.11
Kyle Anderson	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-10	14	16.6	17.7	-1.09	14.1	14.6	-0.44
Danny Green	48	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-3	0	17.5	17.0	0.46	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Boban Marjanovic	12	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	16.1	17.4	-1.37	15.2	14.3	0.86
Kevin Martin	37	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	1	-8	16.4	17.9	-1.55	14.2	14.6	-0.41
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.12	-14	8	-22	17.5	16.8	0.75	14.6	14.0	0.61
Kawhi Leonard	71	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	4	-14	17.7	15.7	2.01	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Tony Parker	56	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	6	-18	17.6	16.8	0.76	14.5	14.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.26,0.16,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0	93.2%
MIA 94, VAN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.04,0,0,0	92.9%
GSW 117, ORL 108	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0	92.9%