inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 82 Excitement6.5 [516] MVPJarron Collins (UTA): +16.0%
Houston Rockets 74 Comeback2.4 [253] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -22.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarron Collins0.160,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.110.060.01583%0.1600.00887%0.03
Mehmet Okur0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.021750%0.0200.00683%0.02
Keith McLeod0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.00656%0.051-0.046100%0.04
Greg Ostertag0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00464%0.063-0.083100%0.02
Milt Palacio-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02-0.020.010.01543%0.021-0.044100%0.02
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02536%0.011-0.04425%-0.01
Kris Humphries-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Robert Whaley-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.030.00250%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Deron Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.011032%-0.0500.00250%-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko-0.230,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.21-0.04-0.021131%-0.086-0.151060%-0.03

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.011556%0.062-0.06475%-0.00
David Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.021152%0.011-0.025100%0.04
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.021454%0.043-0.071182%0.02
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00217%-0.0500.00250%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.00425%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.05-0.02617%-0.101-0.0000%0.00
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.14-0.07-0.011025%-0.113-0.10450%-0.03
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21-0.21-0.12-0.11-0.031229%-0.123-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.02.028.216.828.22.335.7141.1
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +33.5%
UTA +17.2%
UTA +9.7%
HOU -4.8%
HOU -5.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAHOUNBAUTAHOUNBA
this game17.315.815.694.385.1104.4
season17.016.1101.799.9
opponent16.115.0101.4104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA20.717.814.916.117.3
HOU13.618.217.813.915.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrei Kirilenko69690.66-0.160.830.2215-72217.217.7-0.5616.314.02.30
Deron Williams59590.56-0.060.630.2411-31416.419.1-2.7015.716.1-0.41
Milt Palacio35350.53-0.030.570.1812-41617.617.10.5415.616.0-0.43
Mehmet Okur65650.480.020.450.2480816.818.6-1.8216.015.50.50
Devin Brown46470.420.080.340.2271616.518.1-1.5514.916.9-2.08
Jarron Collins39380.090.41-0.310.0035-216.917.5-0.5916.615.21.43
Robert Whaley22210.070.43-0.36-0.0235-217.117.3-0.2518.415.03.43
Keith McLeod5252-0.030.53-0.570.08-412-1617.117.6-0.5416.015.60.43
Gordan Giricek2828-0.060.56-0.630.02-311-1419.116.42.7016.115.70.41
Greg Ostertag910-0.110.61-0.720.07-614-2022.316.75.6411.816.4-4.55
Kris Humphries1111-0.110.61-0.720.06-614-2021.216.74.4712.116.4-4.28

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tracy McGrady33330.10-0.600.70-0.024-121616.615.41.2518.716.42.29
Lonny Baxter2221-0.03-0.470.430.02-2-6416.715.51.2018.017.10.89
Moochie Norris2928-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-3-215.316.1-0.7818.116.91.17
Ryan Bowen2725-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-3-212.917.2-4.3117.317.30.06
Juwan Howard6969-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.280-8815.019.1-4.1417.217.4-0.14
Stephen Graham3031-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-6415.915.80.1114.518.8-4.34
Stromile Swift4041-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.12-7-1-617.414.52.9116.218.2-1.95
Dikembe Mutombo3334-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.09-80-816.915.11.7919.116.12.93
David Wesley8283-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.34-2-6415.423.4-8.0317.415.22.12
Luther Head7070-0.620.12-0.73-0.23-135-1816.513.23.2917.018.6-1.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 117, ORL 1080.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,094.2%
SAS 95, CHA 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.01,094.0%
CHI 103, OKC 960.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,094.0%