NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	95		Excitement	7.4 [354]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +33.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	2.6 [288]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): -16.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33	0.13	0.18	-0.02	17	70%	0.37	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Gary Neal	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.36,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.14	-0.02	8	94%	0.36	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	78%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Tiago Splitter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	15	39%	-0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
James Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
George Hill	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	12	47%	-0.00	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	9	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	11	53%	0.15	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.02
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sherron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.04	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	11	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	15	23%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	30.0	15.8	24.4	2.4	35.4	134.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +45.7%

CHA -8.4%

SAS +14.7%

CHA -4.4%

SAS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CHA	NBA	SAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.6	15.5	105.6	100.0	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		109.3	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.5	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.3	13.6	15.4	19.2	15.2
CHA	16.1	17.0	16.6	16.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	61	63	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-2	8	14.5	16.7	-2.13	16.1	17.7	-1.55
Manu Ginobili	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	2	0	15.2	15.2	0.00	15.6	19.5	-3.99
Tony Parker	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	2	0	14.3	18.8	-4.54	16.3	17.6	-1.28
Antonio McDyess	39	40	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	0	4	16.5	14.2	2.30	16.4	16.7	-0.28
Gary Neal	23	24	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	-1	6	16.2	14.9	1.29	19.5	15.6	3.99
George Hill	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.30	-3	7	-10	17.8	13.5	4.37	17.6	15.9	1.71
Tim Duncan	67	67	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	4	-4	14.3	17.8	-3.45	15.6	19.5	-3.93
Tiago Splitter	19	19	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-1	6	16.9	14.7	2.20	19.1	15.9	3.16
DeJuan Blair	42	41	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	4	-4	14.0	16.2	-2.23	17.2	16.1	1.12
James Anderson	26	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	5	-6	15.9	14.9	1.00	17.2	16.4	0.83

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	41	40	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-10	16	16.3	16.8	-0.52	15.2	15.2	0.07
Sherron Collins	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	0	-4	21.0	16.3	4.71	16.2	15.2	1.05
Nazr Mohammed	33	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-2	0	17.8	15.9	1.95	14.1	15.8	-1.69
DeSagana Diop	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	2	-8	14.9	17.5	-2.58	13.5	16.1	-2.63
Derrick Brown	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-3	2	16.8	16.5	0.32	16.1	14.7	1.35
Tyrus Thomas	39	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-6	8	17.3	16.1	1.19	16.9	13.8	3.08
Shaun Livingston	19	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	17.4	16.4	0.97	18.5	14.3	4.23
Boris Diaw	71	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-8	12	16.0	18.8	-2.88	15.2	15.1	0.09
D.J. Augustin	72	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	1	-6	15.7	20.1	-4.42	14.6	17.2	-2.56
Gerald Wallace	61	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	2	-8	16.5	16.8	-0.24	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Stephen Jackson	50	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	7	-18	17.9	15.0	2.92	14.8	15.7	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0	94.0%
UTA 90, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.7%
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	93.3%