NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	88		Excitement	5.7 [687]		MVP	Darius Miles (POR): +11.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	75		Comeback	2.1 [284]		LVP	Marc Jackson (NOK): -14.8%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	0.00	14	46%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.02	0.05	14	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Moochie Norris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	89%	0.12	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Marc Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	16	58%	0.11	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.08
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	15	61%	0.10	3	-0.10	8	37%	-0.08
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Viktor Khryapa	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	56%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	12	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.6	32.3	15.6	27.0	1.8	30.2	132.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +11.1%

NOK +20.2%

NOK +16.5%

POR -0.9%

NOK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	POR	NBA	NOK	POR	NBA
this game	18.3	16.6	15.6	106.0	91.5	104.4
season	16.3	16.6		101.2	99.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		109.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	23.0	16.3	18.7	15.6	18.3
POR	14.9	18.0	15.6	18.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	48	49	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.06	15	-2	17	17.5	19.2	-1.69	18.1	14.5	3.57
Marc Jackson	32	31	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	0	13	18.3	18.2	0.05	17.7	16.0	1.76
Linton Johnson	27	26	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	3	7	17.8	18.5	-0.65	16.2	16.9	-0.66
Rasual Butler	43	42	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	8	-3	18.1	18.4	-0.28	15.9	17.4	-1.52
Chris Paul	65	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	6	1	18.4	17.9	0.46	15.6	20.0	-4.37
Moochie Norris	18	19	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	7	-1	17.9	18.4	-0.46	20.0	15.6	4.37
Kirk Snyder	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	5	3	18.4	18.1	0.28	17.4	15.9	1.52
P.J. Brown	48	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	10	-7	17.7	19.0	-1.24	16.1	17.4	-1.36
Desmond Mason	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	10	-7	18.5	17.8	0.65	16.9	16.2	0.66
Aaron Williams	38	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	18	-23	19.8	17.0	2.83	14.6	18.4	-3.79

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Voshon Lenard	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-10	7	14.9	16.8	-1.96	14.1	18.7	-4.57
Viktor Khryapa	16	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.02	-1	-12	11	15.6	16.9	-1.35	20.1	17.8	2.34
Steve Blake	52	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-12	11	16.3	17.2	-0.87	18.1	18.6	-0.46
Travis Outlaw	40	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-8	3	16.3	16.9	-0.58	19.2	17.4	1.83
Martell Webster	42	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-4	-5	16.7	16.6	0.14	17.1	19.4	-2.33
Brian Skinner	46	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-11	9	16.5	16.9	-0.38	18.9	17.5	1.44
Juan Dixon	43	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-8	3	16.2	17.1	-0.87	18.3	18.2	0.07
Zach Randolph	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	16.5	17.3	-0.83	18.8	15.9	2.95
Jarrett Jack	30	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	17.2	16.3	0.87	18.6	18.1	0.46
Darius Miles	67	68	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	4	-21	17.8	11.5	6.26	17.4	22.1	-4.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	94.0%
UTA 82, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.01,0	93.9%
POR 111, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.44,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%