NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	5.9 [657]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +28.4%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	2.1 [919]		LVP	Robin Lopez (POR): -14.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,0.17,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.09	0.17	-0.03	10	67%	0.32	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Dorell Wright	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	2	125%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	11	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Will Barton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	19	45%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.05	14	58%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Victor Claver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.06	0.04	13	43%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	4	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.05	0.04	17	60%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	16	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.04	9	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	11	67%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	16	43%	-0.01	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	27.0	15.0	26.2	2.3	30.6	125.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.0%

UTA -0.0%

POR +5.3%

POR +19.8%

POR +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.3	15.1	118.1	105.3	105.2
season	15.1	16.2		109.6	102.1
opponent	14.8	14.8		109.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.9	14.0	15.4	15.0	15.3
UTA	13.1	16.5	15.9	15.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorell Wright	29	29	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-6	24	14.7	15.6	-0.93	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Damian Lillard	70	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-2	16	15.7	14.4	1.28	16.3	12.6	3.64
Robin Lopez	67	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-4	20	15.4	15.2	0.15	15.7	14.2	1.51
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	2	8	16.4	13.2	3.19	16.2	13.6	2.55
Nicolas Batum	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	1	10	15.7	14.2	1.52	15.7	14.2	1.54
Mo Williams	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	12	-12	15.6	15.1	0.55	15.2	15.4	-0.28
Wesley Matthews	57	57	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	10	-8	15.4	15.3	0.10	15.4	15.2	0.11
Victor Claver	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	7.2	15.7	-8.44	9.0	15.5	-6.52
CJ McCollum	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	7.2	15.7	-8.44	8.7	15.6	-6.85
Meyers Leonard	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	7.2	15.7	-8.44	9.0	15.5	-6.52
Will Barton	23	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	14	-16	14.7	15.5	-0.78	12.6	16.3	-3.64
Thomas Robinson	35	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	21	-30	15.1	15.4	-0.30	14.2	15.9	-1.77

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	79	78	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-15	18	14.8	17.8	-2.96	15.4	14.7	0.70
Enes Kanter	63	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-10	8	15.5	14.9	0.56	15.8	14.3	1.46
Derrick Favors	51	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.13	-1	-11	10	16.2	14.3	1.85	15.4	15.3	0.10
Alec Burks	82	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-7	2	15.2	15.9	-0.70	15.1	16.6	-1.49
Gordon Hayward	62	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-10	8	15.6	14.8	0.80	16.0	13.8	2.25
Jeremy Evans	51	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-3	-6	14.4	16.4	-2.05	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Rudy Gobert	23	22	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	15.0	15.4	-0.41	13.9	15.8	-1.85
Diante Garrett	15	16	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	3	-18	17.8	14.8	2.96	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Richard Jefferson	44	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	5	-22	15.1	15.5	-0.41	14.7	15.9	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.44,0.24,0.27,0.14,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	93.7%
ORL 104, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0	93.7%
PHX 99, GSW 88	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.09,0.17,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%