NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	6.9 [407]		MVP	Reggie Slater (TOR): +6.0%
Toronto Raptors	82		Comeback	2.1 [278]		LVP	Oliver Miller (TOR): -33.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
B.J. Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
J.R. Reid	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	61%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	9	55%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	8	58%	0.00	4	-0.11	10	50%	-0.04
Bobby Phills	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	15	54%	-0.01	4	-0.13	7	71%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	-0.03	13	67%	0.06	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	14	44%	-0.14	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.08	-0.01	14	33%	-0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	10	37%	-0.08	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.18	-0.14	0.01	9	25%	-0.16	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	25.4	15.3	23.6	1.4	28.6	122.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +51.0%

TOR -6.0%

TOR -18.9%

CHH +24.7%

TOR -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	TOR	NBA	CHH	TOR	NBA
this game	13.1	16.9	15.6	99.0	85.4	102.5
season	15.7	15.5		104.0	98.7
opponent	14.8	15.9		108.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.1	13.7	13.6	12.1	13.1
TOR	16.2	16.3	18.5	16.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	72	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.09	19	-6	25	12.9	13.7	-0.89	16.5	18.2	-1.72
David Wesley	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	0	13	12.4	14.2	-1.76	17.4	16.0	1.42
Bobby Phills	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	2	9	12.4	15.1	-2.75	16.4	18.4	-1.95
Anthony Mason	79	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	2	9	13.4	11.7	1.67	16.7	18.1	-1.40
Glen Rice	79	79	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	10	-7	13.2	12.6	0.53	16.5	18.9	-2.39
J.R. Reid	34	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	6	1	13.3	13.0	0.28	18.9	15.8	3.05
Dell Curry	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	10	-7	14.1	12.6	1.54	18.2	16.3	1.93
B.J. Armstrong	35	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	13	-13	14.2	12.4	1.76	16.0	17.4	-1.42
Matt Geiger	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	15	-17	12.9	13.1	-0.17	17.6	16.8	0.85

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-15	17	17.6	16.8	0.85	12.9	13.1	-0.17
Shawn Respert	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-8	3	16.8	17.0	-0.10	13.9	12.6	1.28
Zan Tabak	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-2	-9	19.3	15.5	3.87	13.2	13.0	0.13
Marcus Camby	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.15	-4	-9	5	18.2	15.4	2.78	14.1	11.9	2.22
Oliver Miller	70	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-10	7	15.7	20.2	-4.49	13.0	13.2	-0.19
Reggie Slater	46	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	16.7	17.1	-0.34	12.2	13.9	-1.70
John Wallace	69	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-4	-5	16.6	17.6	-0.99	12.9	13.5	-0.54
Damon Stoudamire	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	-1	-11	16.7	18.1	-1.37	12.9	13.9	-0.95
Walt Williams	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	3	-19	16.5	18.5	-2.06	12.9	13.7	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	94.0%
BKN 109, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.02,0.04,0	93.8%
BOS 86, NJN 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	93.8%