NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	86		Excitement	5.7 [667]		MVP	Shelden Williams (BOS): +9.3%
New Jersey Nets	76		Comeback	1.9 [1108]		LVP	Terrence Williams (NJN): -16.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shelden Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	3	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	70%	0.11	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	11	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Ray Allen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.02	13	43%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Lester Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Giddens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	13	31%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	6	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	16	66%	0.17	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Sean Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.12	6	-0.16	4	75%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	7	19%	-0.10	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-0.03	14	26%	-0.05	4	-0.11	3	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	31.3	14.8	29.2	2.5	31.5	134.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +11.7%

BOS +15.8%

NJN -7.2%

BOS +29.6%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.3	93.5	82.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.9		105.7	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		108.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	14.4	14.9	17.6	15.0
NJN	16.5	14.4	17.1	17.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	28	29	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.21	15	-5	20	16.0	14.5	1.48	16.4	16.3	0.11
Eddie House	34	35	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-4	18	16.1	14.3	1.82	15.7	16.8	-1.10
Ray Allen	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	3	4	15.3	13.6	1.69	17.1	12.5	4.64
Brian Scalabrine	40	39	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-1	12	14.2	15.5	-1.27	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Rasheed Wallace	43	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	6	-2	15.9	14.2	1.68	16.7	16.0	0.76
Kendrick Perkins	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	4	2	14.2	15.9	-1.68	16.0	16.7	-0.76
Paul Pierce	62	62	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	8	-6	15.0	14.9	0.10	16.2	16.6	-0.44
J.R. Giddens	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	10	-10	15.4	14.9	0.50	9.9	16.9	-7.01
Kevin Garnett	64	63	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	14	-18	14.5	16.0	-1.48	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Rajon Rondo	58	57	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	15	-20	14.3	16.1	-1.82	16.8	15.7	1.10

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	66	67	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-11	12	16.0	17.3	-1.30	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Sean Williams	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	12.5	16.9	-4.31	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Josh Boone	71	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-11	12	17.0	14.1	2.84	15.6	13.2	2.38
Rafer Alston	86	86	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.14	-2	-8	6	15.9	22.2	-6.24	14.7	18.7	-3.96
Brook Lopez	78	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	16.6	15.0	1.58	14.7	16.5	-1.87
Eduardo Najera	22	24	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.08	-13	3	-16	15.9	16.5	-0.56	15.0	15.0	0.04
Terrence Williams	56	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	1	-12	16.4	16.2	0.23	15.5	14.2	1.35
Trenton Hassell	70	71	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.20	-20	10	-30	16.9	14.5	2.41	14.9	15.1	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	93.8%
DAL 91, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.09,0	93.2%
MIL 100, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	93.1%